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Shu, Tian; Luo, Guanzhong; Luo, Zhaosheng; Yu, Xiaofeng; Guo, Xiaojun; Li, Yujun – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are the statistical framework for cognitive diagnostic assessment in education and psychology. They generally assume that subjects' latent attributes are dichotomous--mastery or nonmastery, which seems quite deterministic. As an alternative to dichotomous attribute mastery, attention is drawn to the use of a…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Models, Diagnostic Tests, Accuracy
Rank-Normalization, Folding, and Localization: An Improved [R-Hat] for Assessing Convergence of MCMC
Aki Vehtari; Andrew Gelman; Daniel Simpson; Bob Carpenter; Paul-Christian Burkner – Grantee Submission, 2021
Markov chain Monte Carlo is a key computational tool in Bayesian statistics, but it can be challenging to monitor the convergence of an iterative stochastic algorithm. In this paper we show that the convergence diagnostic [R-hat] of Gelman and Rubin (1992) has serious flaws. Traditional [R-hat] will fail to correctly diagnose convergence failures…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods, Bayesian Statistics, Efficiency
van der Linden, Wim J.; Ren, Hao – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
The Bayesian way of accounting for the effects of error in the ability and item parameters in adaptive testing is through the joint posterior distribution of all parameters. An optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for adaptive testing is presented, which samples this distribution in real time to score the examinee's ability and optimally…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Adaptive Testing, Error of Measurement, Markov Processes
Bolin, Jocelyn H.; Finch, W. Holmes; Stenger, Rachel – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2019
Multilevel data are a reality for many disciplines. Currently, although multiple options exist for the treatment of multilevel data, most disciplines strictly adhere to one method for multilevel data regardless of the specific research design circumstances. The purpose of this Monte Carlo simulation study is to compare several methods for the…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Computation, Statistical Analysis, Maximum Likelihood Statistics
McNeish, Daniel – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
In behavioral sciences broadly, estimating growth models with Bayesian methods is becoming increasingly common, especially to combat small samples common with longitudinal data. Although Mplus is becoming an increasingly common program for applied research employing Bayesian methods, the limited selection of prior distributions for the elements of…
Descriptors: Models, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Analysis, Computer Software
Lee, Soo; Suh, Youngsuk – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2018
Lord's Wald test for differential item functioning (DIF) has not been studied extensively in the context of the multidimensional item response theory (MIRT) framework. In this article, Lord's Wald test was implemented using two estimation approaches, marginal maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation, to detect…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Sample Size, Models, Error of Measurement
Dorie, Vincent; Harada, Masataka; Carnegie, Nicole Bohme; Hill, Jennifer – Grantee Submission, 2016
When estimating causal effects, unmeasured confounding and model misspecification are both potential sources of bias. We propose a method to simultaneously address both issues in the form of a semi-parametric sensitivity analysis. In particular, our approach incorporates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees into a two-parameter sensitivity analysis…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Mathematical Models, Causal Models, Statistical Bias
Li, Tongyun; Jiao, Hong; Macready, George B. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2016
The present study investigates different approaches to adding covariates and the impact in fitting mixture item response theory models. Mixture item response theory models serve as an important methodology for tackling several psychometric issues in test development, including the detection of latent differential item functioning. A Monte Carlo…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Psychometrics, Test Construction, Monte Carlo Methods
Depaoli, Sarah – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2012
Parameter recovery was assessed within mixture confirmatory factor analysis across multiple estimator conditions under different simulated levels of mixture class separation. Mixture class separation was defined in the measurement model (through factor loadings) and the structural model (through factor variances). Maximum likelihood (ML) via the…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Factor Analysis, Statistical Bias, Evaluation Research
Biesanz, Jeremy C.; Falk, Carl F.; Savalei, Victoria – Multivariate Behavioral Research, 2010
Theoretical models specifying indirect or mediated effects are common in the social sciences. An indirect effect exists when an independent variable's influence on the dependent variable is mediated through an intervening variable. Classic approaches to assessing such mediational hypotheses (Baron & Kenny, 1986; Sobel, 1982) have in recent years…
Descriptors: Computation, Intervals, Models, Monte Carlo Methods
Okada, Kensuke; Shigemasu, Kazuo – Applied Psychological Measurement, 2009
Bayesian multidimensional scaling (MDS) has attracted a great deal of attention because: (1) it provides a better fit than do classical MDS and ALSCAL; (2) it provides estimation errors of the distances; and (3) the Bayesian dimension selection criterion, MDSIC, provides a direct indication of optimal dimensionality. However, Bayesian MDS is not…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Multidimensional Scaling, Computation, Computer Software
Hoshino, Takahiro; Shigemasu, Kazuo – Applied Psychological Measurement, 2008
The authors propose a concise formula to evaluate the standard error of the estimated latent variable score when the true values of the structural parameters are not known and must be estimated. The formula can be applied to factor scores in factor analysis or ability parameters in item response theory, without bootstrap or Markov chain Monte…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Markov Processes, Factor Analysis, Computation
Song, Xin-Yuan; Lee, Sik-Yum – Multivariate Behavioral Research, 2006
In this article, we formulate a nonlinear structural equation model (SEM) that can accommodate covariates in the measurement equation and nonlinear terms of covariates and exogenous latent variables in the structural equation. The covariates can come from continuous or discrete distributions. A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze the…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Bayesian Statistics, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods