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Shu, Tian; Luo, Guanzhong; Luo, Zhaosheng; Yu, Xiaofeng; Guo, Xiaojun; Li, Yujun – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are the statistical framework for cognitive diagnostic assessment in education and psychology. They generally assume that subjects' latent attributes are dichotomous--mastery or nonmastery, which seems quite deterministic. As an alternative to dichotomous attribute mastery, attention is drawn to the use of a…
Descriptors: Cognitive Measurement, Models, Diagnostic Tests, Accuracy
Aki Vehtari; Andrew Gelman; Daniel Simpson; Bob Carpenter; Paul-Christian Burkner – Grantee Submission, 2021
Markov chain Monte Carlo is a key computational tool in Bayesian statistics, but it can be challenging to monitor the convergence of an iterative stochastic algorithm. In this paper we show that the convergence diagnostic [R-hat] of Gelman and Rubin (1992) has serious flaws. Traditional [R-hat] will fail to correctly diagnose convergence failures…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods, Bayesian Statistics, Efficiency
Yao, Yuling; Vehtari, Aki; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2022
When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior uncertainty. And, even if the most important modes can be found, it is difficult to evaluate their relative weights in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods
Xin Qiao; Akihito Kamata; Yusuf Kara; Cornelis Potgieter; Joseph Nese – Grantee Submission, 2023
In this article, the beta-binomial model for count data is proposed and demonstrated in terms of its application in the context of oral reading fluency (ORF) assessment, where the number of words read correctly (WRC) is of interest. Existing studies adopted the binomial model for count data in similar assessment scenarios. The beta-binomial model,…
Descriptors: Oral Reading, Reading Fluency, Bayesian Statistics, Markov Processes
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Fox, Jean-Paul; Wenzel, Jeremias; Klotzke, Konrad – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2021
Standard item response theory (IRT) models have been extended with testlet effects to account for the nesting of items; these are well known as (Bayesian) testlet models or random effect models for testlets. The testlet modeling framework has several disadvantages. A sufficient number of testlet items are needed to estimate testlet effects, and a…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Tests, Item Response Theory, Hierarchical Linear Modeling
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Lozano, José H.; Revuelta, Javier – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
The present paper introduces a general multidimensional model to measure individual differences in learning within a single administration of a test. Learning is assumed to result from practicing the operations involved in solving the items. The model accounts for the possibility that the ability to learn may manifest differently for correct and…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Learning Processes, Test Items, Item Analysis
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Shen, Ting; Konstantopoulos, Spyros – Journal of Experimental Education, 2022
Large-scale education data are collected via complex sampling designs that incorporate clustering and unequal probability of selection. Multilevel models are often utilized to account for clustering effects. The probability weighted approach (PWA) has been frequently used to deal with the unequal probability of selection. In this study, we examine…
Descriptors: Data Collection, Educational Research, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics
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van der Linden, Wim J.; Ren, Hao – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
The Bayesian way of accounting for the effects of error in the ability and item parameters in adaptive testing is through the joint posterior distribution of all parameters. An optimized Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for adaptive testing is presented, which samples this distribution in real time to score the examinee's ability and optimally…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Adaptive Testing, Error of Measurement, Markov Processes
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Wang, Xiaoqing; Wu, Haotian; Feng, Xiangnan; Song, Xinyuan – Sociological Methods & Research, 2021
Given the questionnaire design and the nature of the problem, partially ordered data that are neither completely ordered nor completely unordered are frequently encountered in social, behavioral, and medical studies. However, early developments in partially ordered data analysis are very limited and restricted only to cross-sectional data. In this…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Health Behavior, Smoking, Case Studies
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Liu, Yang; Wang, Xiaojing – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2020
Parametric methods, such as autoregressive models or latent growth modeling, are usually inflexible to model the dependence and nonlinear effects among the changes of latent traits whenever the time gap is irregular and the recorded time points are individually varying. Often in practice, the growth trend of latent traits is subject to certain…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Nonparametric Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Item Response Theory
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Levy, Roy – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2020
In this digital ITEMS module, Dr. Roy Levy describes Bayesian approaches to psychometric modeling. He discusses how Bayesian inference is a mechanism for reasoning in a probability-modeling framework and is well-suited to core problems in educational measurement: reasoning from student performances on an assessment to make inferences about their…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Psychometrics, Item Response Theory, Statistical Inference
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Babcock, Ben; Hodge, Kari J. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2020
Equating and scaling in the context of small sample exams, such as credentialing exams for highly specialized professions, has received increased attention in recent research. Investigators have proposed a variety of both classical and Rasch-based approaches to the problem. This study attempts to extend past research by (1) directly comparing…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Equated Scores, Scaling, Sample Size
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Yamaguchi, Kazuhiro – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Understanding whether or not different types of students master various attributes can aid future learning remediation. In this study, two-level diagnostic classification models (DCMs) were developed to represent the probabilistic relationship between external latent classes and attribute mastery patterns. Furthermore, variational Bayesian (VB)…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Statistical Inference, Sampling
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Bezirhan, Ummugul; von Davier, Matthias; Grabovsky, Irina – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2021
This article presents a new approach to the analysis of how students answer tests and how they allocate resources in terms of time on task and revisiting previously answered questions. Previous research has shown that in high-stakes assessments, most test takers do not end the testing session early, but rather spend all of the time they were…
Descriptors: Response Style (Tests), Accuracy, Reaction Time, Ability
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da Silva, Marcelo A.; Liu, Ren; Huggins-Manley, Anne C.; Bazán, Jorge L. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2019
Multidimensional item response theory (MIRT) models use data from individual item responses to estimate multiple latent traits of interest, making them useful in educational and psychological measurement, among other areas. When MIRT models are applied in practice, it is not uncommon to see that some items are designed to measure all latent traits…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Matrices, Models, Bayesian Statistics
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