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Makela, Susanna; Si, Yajuan; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2018
Cluster sampling is common in survey practice, and the corresponding inference has been predominantly design-based. We develop a Bayesian framework for cluster sampling and account for the design effect in the outcome modeling. We consider a two-stage cluster sampling design where the clusters are first selected with probability proportional to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Sampling, Probability
Dorie, Vincent; Harada, Masataka; Carnegie, Nicole Bohme; Hill, Jennifer – Grantee Submission, 2016
When estimating causal effects, unmeasured confounding and model misspecification are both potential sources of bias. We propose a method to simultaneously address both issues in the form of a semi-parametric sensitivity analysis. In particular, our approach incorporates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees into a two-parameter sensitivity analysis…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Mathematical Models, Causal Models, Statistical Bias
Karabatsos, George; Walker, Stephen G. – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2011
Karabatsos and Walker (2011) introduced a new Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) regression model. Through analyses of real and simulated data, they showed that the BNP regression model outperforms other parametric and nonparametric regression models of common use, in terms of predictive accuracy of the outcome (dependent) variable. The other,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Regression (Statistics), Nonparametric Statistics, Statistical Inference