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Wes Bonifay; Sonja D. Winter; Hanamori F. Skoblow; Ashley L. Watts – Grantee Submission, 2024
Replication provides a confrontation of psychological theory, not only in experimental research, but also in model-based research. Goodness-of-fit (GOF) of the original model to the replication data is routinely provided as meaningful evidence of replication. We demonstrate, however, that GOF obscures important differences between the original and…
Descriptors: Goodness of Fit, Evidence, Replication (Evaluation), Bayesian Statistics
Xiao Liu; Zhiyong Zhang; Kristin Valentino; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2024
Parallel process latent growth curve mediation models (PP-LGCMMs) are frequently used to longitudinally investigate the mediation effects of treatment on the level and change of outcome through the level and change of mediator. An important but often violated assumption in empirical PP-LGCMM analysis is the absence of omitted confounders of the…
Descriptors: Mediation Theory, Bayesian Statistics, Growth Models, Monte Carlo Methods
Xiao Liu; Zhiyong Zhang; Kristin Valentino; Lijuan Wang – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
Parallel process latent growth curve mediation models (PP-LGCMMs) are frequently used to longitudinally investigate the mediation effects of treatment on the level and change of outcome through the level and change of mediator. An important but often violated assumption in empirical PP-LGCMM analysis is the absence of omitted confounders of the…
Descriptors: Mediation Theory, Bayesian Statistics, Growth Models, Monte Carlo Methods
Cagatay Pacaci; Ulas Ustun; Omer Faruk Ozdemir – Journal of Research in Science Teaching, 2024
There is extensive literature focusing on students' misconceptions in various subject domains. Several conceptual change approaches have been trying to understand how conceptual change occurs to help learners handle these misconceptions. This meta-analysis aims to integrate studies investigating the effectiveness of three types of conceptual…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Literature Reviews, Misconceptions, Concept Formation
Timothy R. Konold; Elizabeth A. Sanders – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
Within the frequentist structural equation modeling (SEM) framework, adjudicating model quality through measures of fit has been an active area of methodological research. Complicating this conversation is research revealing that a higher quality measurement portion of a SEM can result in poorer estimates of overall model fit than lower quality…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Reliability, Bayesian Statistics, Goodness of Fit
James Ohisei Uanhoro – Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 2024
We present a method for Bayesian structural equation modeling of sample correlation matrices as correlation structures. The method transforms the sample correlation matrix to an unbounded vector using the matrix logarithm function. Bayesian inference about the unbounded vector is performed assuming a multivariate-normal likelihood, with a mean…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Correlation, Monte Carlo Methods
Gonzalez, Oscar – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
When scores are used to make decisions about respondents, it is of interest to estimate classification accuracy (CA), the probability of making a correct decision, and classification consistency (CC), the probability of making the same decision across two parallel administrations of the measure. Model-based estimates of CA and CC computed from the…
Descriptors: Classification, Accuracy, Intervals, Probability
Xia, Xiaona – Interactive Learning Environments, 2023
The research of multi-category learning behaviors is a hot issue in interactive learning environment, and there are many challenges in data statistics and relationship modeling. We select the massive learning behaviors data of multiple periods and courses and study the decision application of regression analysis. First, based on the definition of…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Decision Making, Regression (Statistics), Bayesian Statistics
David Kaplan; Kjorte Harra – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2024
This paper aims to showcase the value of implementing a Bayesian framework to analyze and report results from international large-scale assessments and provide guidance to users who want to analyse ILSA data using this approach. The motivation for this paper stems from the recognition that Bayesian statistical inference is fast becoming a popular…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Administrator Surveys, Teacher Surveys, Measurement
Hyemin Han; Kelsie J. Dawson – Journal of Moral Education, 2024
In the present study, we examined how the perceived attainability and relatability of moral exemplars predicted moral elevation and pleasantness among both adult and college student participants. Data collected from two experiments were analyzed with Bayesian multilevel modeling to explore which factors significantly predicted outcome variables at…
Descriptors: Moral Values, Prediction, Models, Behavior Patterns
J. E. Borgert – ProQuest LLC, 2024
Foundations of statistics research aims to establish fundamental principles guiding inference about populations under uncertainty. It is concerned with the process of learning from observations, notions of uncertainty and induction, and satisfying inferential objectives. The growing interest in predictive methods in high-stakes fields like…
Descriptors: Statistics, Research, Logical Thinking, Statistical Inference
A. M. Sadek; Fahad Al-Muhlaki – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2024
In this study, the accuracy of the artificial neural network (ANN) was assessed considering the uncertainties associated with the randomness of the data and the lack of learning. The Monte-Carlo algorithm was applied to simulate the randomness of the input variables and evaluate the output distribution. It has been shown that under certain…
Descriptors: Monte Carlo Methods, Accuracy, Artificial Intelligence, Guidelines
Karyssa A. Courey; Frederick L. Oswald; Steven A. Culpepper – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2024
Historically, organizational researchers have fully embraced frequentist statistics and null hypothesis significance testing (NHST). Bayesian statistics is an underused alternative paradigm offering numerous benefits for organizational researchers and practitioners: e.g., accumulating direct evidence for the null hypothesis (vs. 'fail to reject…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Distributions, Researchers, Institutional Research
Xiao Liu; Zhiyong Zhang; Lijuan Wang – Grantee Submission, 2022
Mediation analysis is widely used to study whether the effect of an independent variable on an outcome is transmitted through a mediator. Bayesian methods have become increasingly popular for mediation analysis. However, limited research has been done on formal Bayesian hypothesis testing of mediation. Although hypothesis testing using Bayes…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Hypothesis Testing, Mediation Theory, Vignettes
Williams, Zachary J.; Suzman, Evan; Bordman, Samantha L.; Markfeld, Jennifer E.; Kaiser, Sophia M.; Dunham, Kacie A.; Zoltowski, Alisa R.; Failla, Michelle D.; Cascio, Carissa J.; Woynaroski, Tiffany G. – Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders, 2023
Interoception, the body's perception of its own internal states, is thought to be altered in autism, though results of empirical studies have been inconsistent. The current study systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed the extant literature comparing interoceptive outcomes between autistic (AUT) and neurotypical (NT) individuals, determining…
Descriptors: Autism Spectrum Disorders, Sensory Experience, Bayesian Statistics, Meta Analysis