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Mayrhofer, Ralf; Waldmann, Michael R. – Cognitive Science, 2016
Research on human causal induction has shown that people have general prior assumptions about causal strength and about how causes interact with the background. We propose that these prior assumptions about the parameters of causal systems do not only manifest themselves in estimations of causal strength or the selection of causes but also when…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Bayesian Statistics, Inferences, Probability
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Leising, Kenneth J.; Wong, Jared; Waldmann, Michael R.; Blaisdell, Aaron P. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2008
A. P. Blaisdell, K. Sawa, K. J. Leising, and M. R. Waldmann (2006) reported evidence for causal reasoning in rats. After learning through Pavlovian observation that Event A (a light) was a common cause of Events X (an auditory stimulus) and F (food), rats predicted F in the test phase when they observed Event X as a cue but not when they generated…
Descriptors: Classical Conditioning, Thinking Skills, Animals, Meta Analysis
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Waldmann, Michael R. – Cognitive Science, 2007
In everyday life, people typically observe fragments of causal networks. From this knowledge, people infer how novel combinations of causes they may never have observed together might behave. I report on 4 experiments that address the question of how people intuitively integrate multiple causes to predict a continuously varying effect. Most…
Descriptors: Cues, Context Effect, Prediction, Intuition
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Waldmann, Michael R.; Hagmayer, York – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2005
The ability to derive predictions for the outcomes of potential actions from observational data is one of the hallmarks of true causal reasoning. We present four learning experiments with deterministic and probabilistic data showing that people indeed make different predictions from causal models, whose parameters were learned in a purely…
Descriptors: Competence, Observational Learning, Causal Models, Probability
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Waldmann, Michael R.; Hagmayer, York – Cognitive Psychology, 2006
The standard approach guiding research on the relationship between categories and causality views categories as reflecting causal relations in the world. We provide evidence that the opposite direction also holds: categories that have been acquired in previous learning contexts may influence subsequent causal learning. In three experiments we show…
Descriptors: Classification, Causal Models, Learning Processes, Attribution Theory