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Direct linkBes, Benedicte; Sloman, Steven; Lucas, Christopher G.; Raufaste, Eric – Cognitive Science, 2012
The study tests the hypothesis that conditional probability judgments can be influenced by causal links between the target event and the evidence even when the statistical relations among variables are held constant. Three experiments varied the causal structure relating three variables and found that (a) the target event was perceived as more…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Probability, Correlation, Causal Models
