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Rohit Murali; Cristina Conati; David Poole – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2025
When tutoring students it is useful to be able to predict whether they are succeeding as early as possible. This paper compares multiple methods for predicting from sequential interaction data whether a student is on a successful path. Predicting students' future performance and intervening has shown promise in improving learner outcomes and…
Descriptors: Classification, Prediction, Markov Processes, Artificial Intelligence
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Ajay Verma; Manisha Jain – Measurement: Interdisciplinary Research and Perspectives, 2025
Purpose: This research employs machine learning and mediation analysis, along with path analysis, to investigate the correlations between factors such as body mass index (BMI) and the occurrence of diabetes and heart disease among the Indian population. The objective is to enhance models that are specifically designed to accommodate lifestyles,…
Descriptors: Diabetes, Heart Disorders, Risk, Prediction
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Kajal Mahawar; Punam Rattan – Education and Information Technologies, 2025
Higher education institutions have consistently strived to provide students with top-notch education. To achieve better outcomes, machine learning (ML) algorithms greatly simplify the prediction process. ML can be utilized by academicians to obtain insight into student data and mine data for forecasting the performance. In this paper, the authors…
Descriptors: Electronic Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Academic Achievement, Prediction
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Caihong Feng; Jingyu Liu; Jianhua Wang; Yunhong Ding; Weidong Ji – Education and Information Technologies, 2025
Student academic performance prediction is a significant area of study in the realm of education that has drawn the interest and investigation of numerous scholars. The current approaches for student academic performance prediction mainly rely on the educational information provided by educational system, ignoring the information on students'…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Prediction, Models, Student Behavior
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Jihong Zhang; Jonathan Templin; Xinya Liang – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2024
Recently, Bayesian diagnostic classification modeling has been becoming popular in health psychology, education, and sociology. Typically information criteria are used for model selection when researchers want to choose the best model among alternative models. In Bayesian estimation, posterior predictive checking is a flexible Bayesian model…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Measurement, Models, Classification
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Senthil Kumaran, V.; Malar, B. – Interactive Learning Environments, 2023
Churn in e-learning refers to learners who gradually perform less and become lethargic and may potentially drop out from the course. Churn prediction is a highly sensitive and critical task in an e-learning system because inaccurate predictions might cause undesired consequences. A lot of approaches proposed in the literature analyzed and modeled…
Descriptors: Electronic Learning, Dropouts, Accuracy, Classification
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Anagha Ani; Ean Teng Khor – Education and Information Technologies, 2024
Predictive modelling in the education domain can be utilised to significantly improve teaching and learning experiences. Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) generate a large volume of data that can be exploited to predict and evaluate student performance based on various factors. This paper has two broad aims. Firstly, to develop and tune several…
Descriptors: MOOCs, Classification, Artificial Intelligence, Prediction
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Hayat Sahlaoui; El Arbi Abdellaoui Alaoui; Said Agoujil; Anand Nayyar – Education and Information Technologies, 2024
Predicting student performance using educational data is a significant area of machine learning research. However, class imbalance in datasets and the challenge of developing interpretable models can hinder accuracy. This study compares different variations of the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) combined with classification…
Descriptors: Sampling, Classification, Algorithms, Prediction
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Sotoudeh, Ramina; DiMaggio, Paul – Sociological Methods & Research, 2023
Sociologists increasingly face choices among competing algorithms that represent reasonable approaches to the same task, with little guidance in choosing among them. We develop a strategy that uses simulated data to identify the conditions under which different methods perform well and applies what is learned from the simulations to predict which…
Descriptors: Algorithms, Simulation, Prediction, Correlation
He, Dan – ProQuest LLC, 2023
This dissertation examines the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms and feature engineering techniques for analyzing process data and predicting test performance. The study compares three classification approaches and identifies item-specific process features that are highly predictive of student performance. The findings suggest that…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis, Algorithms, Classification
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Seyed Parsa Neshaei; Richard Lee Davis; Paola Mejia-Domenzain; Tanya Nazaretsky; Tanja Käser – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2025
Deep learning models for text classification have been increasingly used in intelligent tutoring systems and educational writing assistants. However, the scarcity of data in many educational settings, as well as certain imbalances in counts among the annotated labels of educational datasets, limits the generalizability and expressiveness of…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Classification, Natural Language Processing, Technology Uses in Education
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Anderson Pinheiro Cavalcanti; Rafael Ferreira Mello; Dragan Gaševic; Fred Freitas – International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 2024
Educational feedback is a crucial factor in the student's learning journey, as through it, students are able to identify their areas of deficiencies and improve self-regulation. However, the literature shows that this is an area of great dissatisfaction, especially in higher education. Providing effective feedback becomes an increasingly…
Descriptors: Prediction, Feedback (Response), Artificial Intelligence, Automation
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Sanaz Nazari; Walter L. Leite; A. Corinne Huggins-Manley – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2024
Social desirability bias (SDB) is a common threat to the validity of conclusions from responses to a scale or survey. There is a wide range of person-fit statistics in the literature that can be employed to detect SDB. In addition, machine learning classifiers, such as logistic regression and random forest, have the potential to distinguish…
Descriptors: Social Desirability, Bias, Artificial Intelligence, Identification
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Senay Kocakoyun Aydogan; Turgut Pura; Fatih Bingül – Malaysian Online Journal of Educational Technology, 2024
In every culture and era, education is considered the most fundamental reality and rule that societies prioritize and deem essential. Throughout the process spanning thousands of years, from the emergence of writing to the present day, education has undergone various forms and formats of change. Education has been a continuous guide for shaping,…
Descriptors: Prediction, Academic Achievement, Artificial Intelligence, Algorithms
Abdullah Mana Alfarwan – ProQuest LLC, 2024
This dissertation examined classification outcome differences among four popular individual supervised machine learning (ISML) models (logistic regression, decision tree, support vector machine, and multilayer perceptron) when predicting minor class membership within imbalanced datasets. The study context and the theoretical population sampled…
Descriptors: Regression (Statistics), Decision Making, Prediction, Sample Size
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