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McCormack, Teresa; Frosch, Caren; Patrick, Fiona; Lagnado, David – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2015
Three experiments examined children's and adults' abilities to use statistical and temporal information to distinguish between common cause and causal chain structures. In Experiment 1, participants were provided with conditional probability information and/or temporal information and asked to infer the causal structure of a 3-variable mechanical…
Descriptors: Probability, Age Differences, Children, Intervention
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Bramley, Neil R.; Lagnado, David A.; Speekenbrink, Maarten – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2015
Interacting with a system is key to uncovering its causal structure. A computational framework for interventional causal learning has been developed over the last decade, but how real causal learners might achieve or approximate the computations entailed by this framework is still poorly understood. Here we describe an interactive computer task in…
Descriptors: Intervention, Memory, Cognitive Processes, Models
Zhu, Shizhuo – ProQuest LLC, 2010
Clinical decision-making is challenging mainly because of two factors: (1) patient conditions are often complicated with partial and changing information; (2) people have cognitive biases in their decision-making and information-seeking. Consequentially, misdiagnoses and ineffective use of resources may happen. To better support clinical…
Descriptors: Medical Evaluation, Clinical Diagnosis, Decision Making, Bayesian Statistics
Forsyth, Donelson R.; Pope, William R. – 1980
If overattribution--the tendency for observers to think actors' attitudes match their behaviors even when behaviors are not freely performed--results from the fundamental attribution error, then observers must believe the coerced behavior is attributionally informative. This assumption was tested by (1) investigating the extent to which attitude…
Descriptors: Attitude Measures, Attribution Theory, Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Processes
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Lee, Michael D. – Cognitive Science, 2006
We consider human performance on an optimal stopping problem where people are presented with a list of numbers independently chosen from a uniform distribution. People are told how many numbers are in the list, and how they were chosen. People are then shown the numbers one at a time, and are instructed to choose the maximum, subject to the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Inferences, Numbers, Cognitive Processes