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Paterson, Kevin; Guerrero, Adam – Research in Higher Education Journal, 2023
Data from a moderately-selective state university in the Midwest is used to cross-examine the most appropriate data analytical techniques for predicting versus explaining college student persistence decisions. The current research provides an overview of the relative benefits of models specializing in prediction versus explanation with particular…
Descriptors: Prediction, Data Analysis, College Students, School Holding Power
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Yu, Renzhe; Li, Qiujie; Fischer, Christian; Doroudi, Shayan; Xu, Di – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2020
In higher education, predictive analytics can provide actionable insights to diverse stakeholders such as administrators, instructors, and students. Separate feature sets are typically used for different prediction tasks, e.g., student activity logs for predicting in-course performance and registrar data for predicting long-term college success.…
Descriptors: Prediction, Accuracy, College Students, Success
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Hodara, Michelle; Lewis, Karyn – Regional Educational Laboratory Northwest, 2017
This report is a companion to a study that found that high school grade point average was a stronger predictor of performance in college-level English and math than were standardized exam scores among first-time students at the University of Alaska who enrolled directly in college-level courses. This report examines how well high school grade…
Descriptors: Grade Point Average, College Students, Academic Achievement, High School Graduates
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Santelices, Maria Veronica; Wilson, Mark – Education Policy Analysis Archives, 2015
This paper investigates the predictive validity of the Revised SAT (R-SAT) score, proposed by Freedle (2003) as an alternative to compensate minority students for the potential harm caused by the relationship between item difficulty and ethnic DIF observed in the SAT. The R-SAT score is the score minority students would have received if only the…
Descriptors: College Entrance Examinations, Predictive Validity, Scores, Minority Group Students
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Simmons, Aneika L.; Payne, Stephanie C.; Pariyothorn, Matthew M. – Creativity Research Journal, 2014
According to the "Internal-External Efficacy model", self-efficacy is an insufficient explanation for self-regulated behavior because it ignores the influence of external resources. Applying this theory of motivation to the prediction of creative performance, the extent to which means efficacy or the belief in the utility of external…
Descriptors: Creativity, Self Efficacy, Predictive Validity, Role
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Jerrim, John – Education Economics, 2015
Several studies have considered whether American college students' hold "realistic" wage expectations. The consensus is that they do not--overestimation of future earnings is in the region of 40-50%. But is it just college students who overestimate the success they will have in the labor market, or is this something common to all…
Descriptors: College Students, Young Adults, Prediction, Predictive Validity
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Alexander, Patricia A.; Dumas, Denis; Grossnickle, Emily M.; List, Alexandra; Firetto, Carla M. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2016
Relational reasoning is the foundational cognitive ability to discern meaningful patterns within an informational stream, but its reliable and valid measurement remains problematic. In this investigation, the measurement of relational reasoning unfolded in three stages. Stage 1 entailed the establishment of a research-based conceptualization of…
Descriptors: Cognitive Ability, Logical Thinking, Thinking Skills, Cognitive Processes
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Jensen, Philip A.; Barron, James N. – Journal of College Science Teaching, 2014
Students routinely ignore negative feedback regarding their performances early in college science courses. In this study we analyzed the extent to which two standard forms of feedback, midterm and first-exam grades, correlated with final grades in several biology courses. The courses ranged from an introductory course for nonmajors to upper…
Descriptors: Biology, Predictive Validity, Grade Prediction, Feedback (Response)
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Sternberg, Robert J.; Bonney, Christina R.; Gabora, Liane; Merrifield, Maegan – Educational Psychologist, 2012
This article outlines shortcomings of currently used university admissions tests and discusses ways in which they could potentially be improved, summarizing two projects designed to enhance college and university admissions. The projects were inspired by the augmented theory of successful intelligence, according to which successful intelligence…
Descriptors: Intelligence, College Students, Grade Point Average, Prediction
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Lindsey, Beth A.; Nagel, Megan L. – Physical Review Special Topics - Physics Education Research, 2015
We have conducted an investigation into how well students in introductory science classes (both physics and chemistry) are able to predict which questions they will or will not be able to answer correctly on an upcoming assessment. An examination of the data at the level of students' overall scores reveals results consistent with the…
Descriptors: Accuracy, Self Evaluation (Individuals), Metacognition, Prediction
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Hossain, Belayet; Tsigaris, Panagiotis – American Journal of Business Education, 2013
This study examines grade expectations of two groups of business students for their final course mark. We separate students that are on average "better" forecasters on the basis of them not making significant forecast errors during the semester from those students that are poor forecasters of their final grade. We find that the better…
Descriptors: Business Administration Education, Grade Prediction, College Students, Expectation
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Gorvine, Benjamin J.; Smith, H. David – Teaching of Psychology, 2015
This study describes the use of a collaborative learning approach in a psychological statistics course and examines the factors that predict which students benefit most from such an approach in terms of learning outcomes. In a course format with a substantial group work component, 166 students were surveyed on their preference for individual…
Descriptors: Prediction, Predictive Measurement, Success, Psychology
Mattern, Krista D.; Wyatt, Jeffrey N. – College Board, 2012
A recurrent trend in higher education research has been to identify additional predictors of college success beyond the traditional measures of high school grade point average (HSGPA) and standardized test scores, given that a large percentage of unaccounted variance in college performance remains. A recent study by Wyatt, Wiley, Camara, and…
Descriptors: College Readiness, Grade Point Average, College Entrance Examinations, Scores
Shaw, Emily J.; Mattern, Krista D. – College Board, 2012
The current study will explore the validity and potential of using the SAT, in conjunction with HSGPA, to arrive at a predicted FYGPA to improve student retention at four-year postsecondary institutions. Specifically, this study examined whether college students who did not perform as expected (observed FYGPA minus predicted FYGPA) were more…
Descriptors: College Entrance Examinations, Test Validity, Grade Point Average, High School Students
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Zheng, Lanqin; Yang, Kaicheng; Huang, Ronghuai – Educational Technology & Society, 2012
This study proposes a new method named the IIS-map-based method for analyzing interactions in face-to-face collaborative learning settings. This analysis method is conducted in three steps: firstly, drawing an initial IIS-map according to collaborative tasks; secondly, coding and segmenting information flows into information items of IIS; thirdly,…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Computer Uses in Education, Program Effectiveness, Research Methodology
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