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Saijun Zhao; Zhiyong Zhang; Hong Zhang – Grantee Submission, 2024
Mediation analysis is widely applied in various fields of science, such as psychology, epidemiology, and sociology. In practice, many psychological and behavioral phenomena are dynamic, and the corresponding mediation effects are expected to change over time. However, most existing mediation methods assume a static mediation effect over time,…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Longitudinal Studies, Attribution Theory
Jennifer Hill; George Perrett; Vincent Dorie – Grantee Submission, 2023
Estimation of causal effects requires making comparisons across groups of observations exposed and not exposed to a a treatment or cause (intervention, program, drug, etc). To interpret differences between groups causally we need to ensure that they have been constructed in such a way that the comparisons are "fair." This can be…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Artificial Intelligence, Data Analysis
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W. Jake Thompson – Grantee Submission, 2024
Diagnostic classification models (DCMs) are psychometric models that can be used to estimate the presence or absence of psychological traits, or proficiency on fine-grained skills. Critical to the use of any psychometric model in practice, including DCMs, is an evaluation of model fit. Traditionally, DCMs have been estimated with maximum…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Psychometrics, Goodness of Fit
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Han Du; Brian Keller; Egamaria Alacam; Craig Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
In Bayesian statistics, the most widely used criteria of Bayesian model assessment and comparison are Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). A multilevel mediation model is used as an illustrative example to compare different types of DIC and WAIC. More specifically, the study compares the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Comparative Analysis, Probability
Merkle, Edgar C.; Fitzsimmons, Ellen; Uanhoro, James; Goodrich, Ben – Grantee Submission, 2021
Structural equation models comprise a large class of popular statistical models, including factor analysis models, certain mixed models, and extensions thereof. Model estimation is complicated by the fact that we typically have multiple interdependent response variables and multiple latent variables (which may also be called random effects or…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Psychometrics, Factor Analysis
Zhang, Xue; Tao, Jian; Wang, Chun; Shi, Ning-Zhong – Grantee Submission, 2019
Model selection is important in any statistical analysis, and the primary goal is to find the preferred (or most parsimonious) model, based on certain criteria, from a set of candidate models given data. Several recent publications have employed the deviance information criterion (DIC) to do model selection among different forms of multilevel item…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Item Response Theory, Measurement, Models
Merkle, E. C.; Furr, D.; Rabe-Hesketh, S. – Grantee Submission, 2019
Typical Bayesian methods for models with latent variables (or random effects) involve directly sampling the latent variables along with the model parameters. In high-level software code for model definitions (using, e.g., BUGS, JAGS, Stan), the likelihood is therefore specified as conditional on the latent variables. This can lead researchers to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Comparative Analysis, Computer Software, Models
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Pavel Chernyavskiy; Traci S. Kutaka; Carson Keeter; Julie Sarama; Douglas Clements – Grantee Submission, 2024
When researchers code behavior that is undetectable or falls outside of the validated ordinal scale, the resultant outcomes often suffer from informative missingness. Incorrect analysis of such data can lead to biased arguments around efficacy and effectiveness in the context of experimental and intervention research. Here, we detail a new…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Mathematics Instruction, Learning Trajectories, Item Response Theory
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Carly Oddleifson; Stephen Kilgus; David A. Klingbeil; Alexander D. Latham; Jessica S. Kim; Ishan N. Vengurlekar – Grantee Submission, 2025
The purpose of this study was to conduct a conceptual replication of Pendergast et al.'s (2018) study that examined the diagnostic accuracy of a nomogram procedure, also known as a naive Bayesian approach. The specific naive Bayesian approach combined academic and social-emotional and behavioral (SEB) screening data to predict student performance…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Accuracy, Social Emotional Learning, Diagnostic Tests
Karrie A. Shogren; Valerie L. Mazzotti; Tyler A. Hicks; Sheida K. Raley; Daria Gerasimova; Jesse R. Pace; Stephen M. Kwiatek; Darcy Fredrick; Jared H. Stewart-Ginsburg; Richard Chapman; Danielle C. Wysenski – Grantee Submission, 2022
Promoting self-determination is essential to effective transition services and supports. The Goal Setting Challenge App (GSC App) was developed to deliver self-determination instruction via technology, building on the evidence-based Self-Determined Learning Model of Instruction (SDLMI). This paper presents data on goal attainment outcomes for…
Descriptors: Goal Orientation, COVID-19, Pandemics, Computer Software
Peng Ding; Fan Li – Grantee Submission, 2018
Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes of the same units under different treatment conditions. Because for each unit at most one of the potential…
Descriptors: Attribution Theory, Causal Models, Statistical Inference, Research Problems
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Liu, Haiyan; Zhang, Zhiyong; Grimm, Kevin J. – Grantee Submission, 2016
Growth curve modeling provides a general framework for analyzing longitudinal data from social, behavioral, and educational sciences. Bayesian methods have been used to estimate growth curve models, in which priors need to be specified for unknown parameters. For the covariance parameter matrix, the inverse Wishart prior is most commonly used due…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Statistical Analysis, Growth Models
Hill, Jennifer Lynn; Su, Yu-Sung – Grantee Submission, 2013
Causal inference in observational studies typically requires making comparisons between groups that are dissimilar. For instance, researchers investigating the role of a prolonged duration of breastfeeding on child outcomes may be forced to make comparisons between women with substantially different characteristics on average. In the extreme there…
Descriptors: Nutrition, Comparative Analysis, Child Development, Cognitive Ability
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Sao Pedro, Michael; Jiang, Yang; Paquette, Luc; Baker, Ryan S.; Gobert, Janice – Grantee Submission, 2014
Students conducted inquiry using simulations within a rich learning environment for 4 science topics. By applying educational data mining to students' log data, assessment metrics were generated for two key inquiry skills, testing stated hypotheses and designing controlled experiments. Three models were then developed to analyze the transfer of…
Descriptors: Simulation, Transfer of Training, Bayesian Statistics, Inquiry