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Vehtari, Aki; Gelman, Andrew; Sivula, Tuomas; Jylänki, Pasi; Tran, Dustin; Sahai, Swupnil; Blomstedt, Paul; Cunningham, John P.; Schiminovich, David; Robert, Christian P. – Grantee Submission, 2020
A common divide-and-conquer approach for Bayesian computation with big data is to partition the data, perform local inference for each piece separately, and combine the results to obtain a global posterior approximation. While being conceptually and computationally appealing, this method involves the problematic need to also split the prior for…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Algorithms, Computation, Generalization
Yao, Yuling; Vehtari, Aki; Gelman, Andrew – Grantee Submission, 2022
When working with multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have difficulty moving between modes, and default variational or mode-based approximate inferences will understate posterior uncertainty. And, even if the most important modes can be found, it is difficult to evaluate their relative weights in…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computation, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods