This report describes a higher education enrollment projection model developed for the state of Washington. The model operates on a student flow concept quantifying students through the flows of entrances, retention, transfers, and exits. The model is based on the assumption that the manner in which students now move through the State's higher…

The purpose of this research effort was to develop and evaluate a prototype system-independent Programming Design Guide (PDG) for one of the 13 offline job aids previously developed for use with the Instructional Systems Development (ISD) model. This PDG is intended to provide all of the guidance necessary for a user to implement the job aid on…

Presents a description of the computer simulation model developed by the National Educational Finance Project for use by States in planning and evaluating alternative approaches for State support programs. Provides a general introduction to the model, a program operation overview, a sample run, and some conclusions. (Author/WM)

Between 1987 and 1990, the work force of the Mare Island Naval Shipyard (Vallejo, California) was reduced from 10,000 to 7,200 employees. The management strategy for moving through this period included the following: (1) using a flexible work force; (2) using Computer-Assisted Manpower Analyses System (CAMAS) flow models to ensure that management…

This paper describes NEOMYCIN, a computer program that models one physician's diagnostic reasoning within a limited area of medicine. NEOMYCIN's knowledge base and reasoning procedure constitute a model of how human knowledge is organized and how it is used in diagnosis. The hypothesis is tested that such a procedure can be used to simulate both…

Drawing on the authors' extensive experience at Stanford University as well as the work of others, this book offers the first systematic approach to fiscal and human resource planning at colleges and universities. It shows how decision models can and should become an integral part of the planning process. The uses and misuses of planning models in…

A program based on instructional systems technology was developed at Canadore College as a means of devising the optimal learning experience for each individual student. The systems approach is used to solve educational problems through a process of analysis, synthesis, modeling, and simulation, based on the LOGOS (Language for Optimizing…

Surveys and follow-up interviews were conducted in 1978 and 1980 respectively at the Navy's Instructional Program Development Centers to determine the need for the development or modification of authoring aids (manuals containing detailed procedural guidelines) to support designers/developers in producing high quality, usable instructional…

The Library Development Division of the Washington State Library and the Library Futures Planning Task Force developed cost data and a computer simulation model in order to construct a series of alternatives for extending library services to areas of the state now unserved. User needs were assessed, and cost data were developed for mail-order…