Description of the characteristics and mechanics of the Delphi technique of identifying the likelihood of occurrence of specified future events precedes suggested uses for the technique in research, planning, and teaching. The procedure involves obtaining individual predictions, aggregating results, presenting results to the individuals, and…

This technical report contains the text of papers presented at a conference on personnel selection research. The conference brought together scholars to share their ideas regarding ways in which their own special interests help shed light on ability-performance relationships observed in personnel selection studies. The contributions can be divided…

Whether there is a direct, significant correlation between occupational stress and work performance remains to be further investigated. (Author)

Stress is neither stimulus, response, nor intervening variable, but rather a collective term for an area of study. (Editor)

Students entering the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill as freshmen in 1967-72 were followed for approximately six years after their initial enrollment to determine the number who received their bachelor's degrees from the institution. For all six freshmen classes combined, 49.9 percent received their degrees within four years, 64.8…

A search for better predictors of incomes of high school and college graduates is described. The accuracy of the prediction, implicit in the work of John R. Walsh of Harvard University, that the income differences in a given year are good indicators of income differences in future years, was tested by applying standard statistical procedures to…

The development of a predictive equation capable of explaining a significant percentage of enrollment variability at Florida International University is described. A model utilizing trend analysis and a multiple regression approach to enrollment forecasting was adapted to investigate enrollment dynamics at the university. Four independent…

A parity-equity model for estimating the influences of rational and nonrational inequity and parity (marketplace) factors on faculty salaries were developed. A comprehensive list of factors was classified as rational equity (e.g., professorial rank, years in rank, years of experience), nonrational equity (e.g., sex, years at university), and…

The multivariate approach of canonical correlation was used to assess selection procedures of the Air Force Academy. It was felt that improved student selection methods might reduce the number of dropouts while maintaining or improving the quality of graduates. The method of canonical correlation was designed to maximize prediction of academic…

The shortcomings of current research on student attrition are reviewed, and ways are described in which multiple regression, path analysis, and a recursive causal model can be used to better understand attrition. A review of the research shows that past theoretical models lack an adequate definition of variables which have resulted in their being…

As part of a Student Outcomes Model, a study was conducted of attrition in the 1975 freshman class at the University of Colorado using longitudinal survey data from nonreturning students and those currently enrolled. Discriminant analysis was employed to identify factors that distinguished persisters, academic dismissals, stopouts, and transfers.…

A model of administrator development was tested in the 21 colleges, graduate and professional schools of a major state university system. Data were gathered from 494 administrators. Administrator development was measured in three ways: (1) individual rate of advancement, (2) perceptions of mobility and "success," and (3) perceptions of…

A pilot project in performance funding was conducted at Tennessee Technological University. A random sample of 112 seniors participated in a special assessment exercise involving the American College Testing (ACT) Battery and the ACT College Outcome Measures Project. The participants also completed a questionnaire designed to elicit self-reports…

The relationship of self-reported study behaviors, affect toward the course, test anxiety, and past achievement to final examination performance were investigated. Subjects were students in Education who enrolled in an undergraduate measurement course. Six study behavior factors in combination with the affect, anxiety, and past achievement…

The application of multiple linear regression to the problem of identifying appropriate criterion variables and predicting enrollment in college courses during a period of major rapid decline was studied. Data were gathered on course enrollments for 1972-78 at Kent State University, and five independent variables were selected to determine the…