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Hsu, Anne S.; Horng, Andy; Griffiths, Thomas L.; Chater, Nick – Cognitive Science, 2017
Identifying patterns in the world requires noticing not only unusual occurrences, but also unusual absences. We examined how people learn from absences, manipulating the extent to which an absence is expected. People can make two types of inferences from the absence of an event: either the event is possible but has not yet occurred, or the event…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Bayesian Statistics, Evidence, Prediction
Gershman, Samuel J.; Pouncy, Hillard Thomas; Gweon, Hyowon – Cognitive Science, 2017
We routinely observe others' choices and use them to guide our own. Whose choices influence us more, and why? Prior work has focused on the effect of perceived similarity between two individuals (self and others), such as the degree of overlap in past choices or explicitly recognizable group affiliations. In the real world, however, any dyadic…
Descriptors: Social Influences, Social Cognition, Inferences, Models
Golubickis, Marius; Falben, Johanna K.; Cunningham, William A.; Macrae, C. Neil – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2018
Although ownership is acknowledged to exert a potent influence on various aspects of information processing, the origin of these effects remains largely unknown. Based on the demonstration that self-relevance facilitates perceptual judgments (i.e., the self-prioritization effect), here we explored the possibility that ownership enhances object…
Descriptors: Ownership, Self Concept, Stimuli, Responses
Hawkins, Guy; Brown, Scott D.; Steyvers, Mark; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan – Cognitive Science, 2012
For decisions between many alternatives, the benchmark result is Hick's Law: that response time increases log-linearly with the number of choice alternatives. Even when Hick's Law is observed for response times, divergent results have been observed for error rates--sometimes error rates increase with the number of choice alternatives, and…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Reaction Time, Context Effect, Decision Making
Rouder, Jeffrey N.; Yue, Yu; Speckman, Paul L.; Pratte, Michael S.; Province, Jordan M. – Psychological Review, 2010
A dominant theme in modeling human perceptual judgments is that sensory neural activity is summed or integrated until a critical bound is reached. Such models predict that, in general, the shape of response time distributions change across conditions, although in practice, this shape change may be subtle. An alternative view is that response time…
Descriptors: Reaction Time, Decision Making, Models, Statistical Analysis
Hagmayer, York; Sloman, Steven A. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 2009
Causal considerations must be relevant for those making decisions. Whether to bring an umbrella or leave it at home depends on the causal consequences of these options. However, most current decision theories do not address causal reasoning. Here, the authors propose a causal model theory of choice based on causal Bayes nets. The critical ideas…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Inferences, Decision Making, Intervention