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Deke, John; Finucane, Mariel; Thal, Daniel – National Center for Education Evaluation and Regional Assistance, 2022
BASIE is a framework for interpreting impact estimates from evaluations. It is an alternative to null hypothesis significance testing. This guide walks researchers through the key steps of applying BASIE, including selecting prior evidence, reporting impact estimates, interpreting impact estimates, and conducting sensitivity analyses. The guide…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Data Interpretation, Hypothesis Testing
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Luo, Wen; Li, Haoran; Baek, Eunkyeng; Chen, Siqi; Lam, Kwok Hap; Semma, Brandie – Review of Educational Research, 2021
Multilevel modeling (MLM) is a statistical technique for analyzing clustered data. Despite its long history, the technique and accompanying computer programs are rapidly evolving. Given the complexity of multilevel models, it is crucial for researchers to provide complete and transparent descriptions of the data, statistical analyses, and results.…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Multivariate Analysis, Prediction, Research Problems
Batley, Prathiba Natesan; Minka, Tom; Hedges, Larry Vernon – Grantee Submission, 2020
Immediacy is one of the necessary criteria to show strong evidence of treatment effect in single case experimental designs (SCEDs). With the exception of Natesan and Hedges (2017) no inferential statistical tool has been used to demonstrate or quantify it until now. We investigate and quantify immediacy by treating the change-points between the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Monte Carlo Methods, Statistical Inference, Markov Processes
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Marsman, Maarten; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
P values have been critiqued on several grounds but remain entrenched as the dominant inferential method in the empirical sciences. In this article, we elaborate on the fact that in many statistical models, the one-sided "P" value has a direct Bayesian interpretation as the approximate posterior mass for values lower than zero. The…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Probability, Statistical Analysis
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García-Pérez, Miguel A. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) has been the subject of debate for decades and alternative approaches to data analysis have been proposed. This article addresses this debate from the perspective of scientific inquiry and inference. Inference is an inverse problem and application of statistical methods cannot reveal whether effects…
Descriptors: Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Inference, Effect Size, Bayesian Statistics
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Han, Bing; Dalal, Siddhartha R.; McCaffrey, Daniel F. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2012
There is widespread interest in using various statistical inference tools as a part of the evaluations for individual teachers and schools. Evaluation systems typically involve classifying hundreds or even thousands of teachers or schools according to their estimated performance. Many current evaluations are largely based on individual estimates…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Error of Measurement, Classification, Statistical Analysis
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Iverson, Geoffrey J.; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan; Lee, Michael D. – Psychological Methods, 2010
The purpose of the recently proposed "p[subscript rep]" statistic is to estimate the probability of concurrence, that is, the probability that a replicate experiment yields an effect of the same sign (Killeen, 2005a). The influential journal "Psychological Science" endorses "p[subscript rep]" and recommends its use…
Descriptors: Effect Size, Evaluation Methods, Probability, Experiments
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Cumming, Geoff – Psychological Methods, 2010
This comment offers three descriptions of "p[subscript rep]" that start with a frequentist account of confidence intervals, draw on R. A. Fisher's fiducial argument, and do not make Bayesian assumptions. Links are described among "p[subscript rep]," "p" values, and the probability a confidence interval will capture…
Descriptors: Replication (Evaluation), Measurement Techniques, Research Methodology, Validity
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Stevens, John R.; Taylor, Alan M. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2009
Meta-analysis is a frequent tool among education and behavioral researchers to combine results from multiple experiments to arrive at a clear understanding of some effect of interest. One of the traditional assumptions in a meta-analysis is the independence of the effect sizes from the studies under consideration. This article presents a…
Descriptors: Meta Analysis, Vertical Organization, Effect Size, Computation