A design experiment where students in Grade 5 (11-12 years old) play the Color Run game constitutes the context for investigating how students can be introduced to informal hypothesis testing. The result outlines a three-step hypothetical learning trajectory on informal hypothesis testing. In the first step, students came to favor sample space…

This article reports on a study in which third-grade students (8-9 years) were given a degree of agency in conducting chance experiments and representing the outcomes. Students chose their own samples of 12 coloured counters, ensuring all colours were represented. They predicted the outcomes of item selection, tested their predictions, explained…

Young children are able to judge which of two possibilities is more likely to occur when these possibilities are characterized by a simple property, like color ("Is it more likely to draw a red chip or a blue chip?"). Here we ask whether they can do so when the possibilities concern a relation between simple properties ("Is it more likely to draw…