Using an adjustment to the Graduate Medical Education National Advisory Committee (GMENAC) model that will take into account the changing male/female ratios of physicians, the estimated physician surplus in the year 2000 is reduced by approximately 28 percent of the GMENAC-predicted surplus. (Author/MLW)

The effect of future health system changes on the requirements for registered nurse (RN) personnel at the state level are examined in this report. Following a report introduction, chapter 2 discusses the baseline scenario which provides an estimate of RN requirements in the absence of three changes: the introduction of national health insurance,…

Data were collected from 69 large employers and interviews were held with 25 of these for purposes of introducing the researchers to research in the problems of manpower planning and forecasting. Findings from this heuristic survey of employers included: (1) 72 percent forecast some of their manpower requirements, (2) 36 percent forecast external…

This report describes a project that developed and field tested a model for projecting state-wide manpower needs in the allied health and nursing occupations in West Virginia and presents projections made for sixteen allied health and nursing occupations in the Charleston area. The content of the report is presented in three sections. The first…

There is an obvious need for a valid, realistic model for research on the occupational needs of the community for relevant time periods to provide planners with quantified data on which to base decisions. The purpose of this study is to develop a statewide system to: (1) identify job needs at the local community level, and (2) relate job needs to…

Discusses aims and techniques of information workforce management for coping with problems caused by labor shortages and accelerated growth, including development of forecasting and planning systems sufficiently simple to be integrated with overall development plans. Unesco sponsored projects and national and regional dimensions are noted. (15…

It is the intent of the occupational needs assessment model to provide data on present and future occupational training requirements for local communities, place the job skill needs in a priority ranking, and relate the occupational need data to the labor market and educational curriculum. This paper shows the development of this model, indicating…

Results from analyses of census data for 997 immigrant Mexican wives, 347 Puerto Ricans, and 405 other Hispanics in comparison with 1,210 native-born counterparts and 8,766 white wives indicate that the labor force behavior of Hispanic wives is highly responsive to their earning potential. (SLD)

In view of German reunification, the 1992-94 recession, and ongoing demographic, technological, organizational, and social changes, alternative projections of labor market and employment structures provide policy makers with needed information. The Institut fur Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB) structural labor projection (1989) forecasted…

A study estimated the aggregate effects of antipoverty policies on wages and unemployment of different groups. The context was one in which emphasis was on labor supply policies, such as welfare reform or job training, and not on policies to increase labor demand for the poor, such as public employment or subsidizing private employers to hire the…

This paper presents the methods and results of a probabilistic teacher labor supply model. It uses both qualitative research findings and econometric methods to estimate the number of teachers with specified characteristics under various policy conditions, especially teacher salaries and supervision received. A review of selected relevant…

Key issues pertinent to federal support of nursing education and training are considered. Policy options for nurse training include: support for programs to increase aggregate supply, support for programs to improve geographic distribution of nurses, support for programs to increase the availability of nurses with advanced training, and support…

The symposium summary presents the opening remarks of the meeting and nine papers which focus on defining manpower research within the context of educational program planning and decision making and include detailed analyses of the supply and demand of selected occupations. The papers are: "Manpower Research and Information, An Educational…

The supply, demand, and shortages of registered nurses (RNs) were projected and analyzed for 2000-2020. According to the analysis, the national supply of full-time-equivalent registered nurses in 2000 was estimated at 1.89 million versus an estimated demand of 2 million, leaving a shortage of 110,000 (6%). The shortage is expected to grow…

This monograph is designed to provide nontechnical users, including policymakers, program planners, curriculum developers, career counselors, and job development and placement specialists, with an introduction to applied labor market analysis of local conditions. Addressed in the individual chapters of the guide are the following topics: the…