This publication presents procedures for estimating future pupil yield from new housing developments which make possible good administrative decisions as to the location and design of school buildings. The growth of suburban metropolitan areas surrounding populous urban areas in the past several decades contributes to complex school building…

In this discussion of enrollment forecasting for community colleges, a new point of view is expressed. Traditional theory characterizes enrollment as a function of history. The historical approach used such methodologies as: (1) cohort, or percentage of survival, (2) curve-fitting, (3) ratio-method, and (4) correlation-analysis. However, the new…

This report presents enrollment projections for Schenectady County Community College from the fall of 1980 through 1991. It includes projections for both full-time and part-time (headcount and full-time equivalent) students and credit hours. Among the numerous variables considered in the calculations are enrollment rates of first-time full-time…

School boards and superintendents should take steps to minimize the community's shock reaction to lower school enrollments, school consolidation, and school closings. (Author)

Pointing out that "trend-demographic" enrollment projections ignore important economic considerations (supply and demand), the author uses a model of educational adaptation, which focuses on the educational characteristics of the active adult population and the wage of educated relative to uneducated labor, to make projections that are compared…

The rate of increase of Illinois junior college enrollment has decreased for the past several years. One reason for this may lie in the fact that the consumption of a service has its greatest rate of increase in the early stages of the supply of the service. As the unmet demand for it becomes satisfied, additional consumption decreases, approaches…

In this news release, United States Secretary of Education Richard W. Riley states that a record 51.7 million students will enter the nation's classrooms in the Fall of 1996. Enrollment is expected to reach 54.6 million students in public and private elementary schools in the year 2006. The Secretary noted that nationwide about 190,000 additional…

This report summarizes the most recent (December 1998) long-range statewide forecast of fall enrollment and average annual weekly student contact hours (WSCH) in California Community Colleges. The annual fall survey of college registrars shows that fall 1998 enrollment is up 1.8 percent over fall 1997. The office forecasting model projects an…

The purpose of this survey was to examine recent (since 1965) and projected enrollment trends in the nation's nonpublic schools and to explore the causes and consequences of these trends. Information on 14 groups of private and parochial schools was collected, although the authors emphasize that their research was not exhaustive. The results show…

This study of Wyoming citizen access to community college education explores several factors related to college enrollments over the period of 1990-1997, and examines projected student enrollments, 1998-2006. Included topics are: (1) age characteristics of the Wyoming population (1990-1997); (2) age characteristics of credit headcount enrollments…

These two reports from the Maricopa County Community College District (MCCCD) present population projections for the MCCCD service area and enrollment projections for the district and its seven individual colleges. The first report reviews enrollment increases over the past decade and presents fall 1980 figures as a background for examining county…

Because of such societywide factors as fewer first marriages, couples opting not to have children, a rise in the divorce rate, and a decline in the remarriage rate, the school population is, and probably will continue, declining. The effects of this decline will be greater than most people anticipate. Because conditions vary so much from district…

The current flux of conditions associated with the slow growth of enrollment admittedly makes projecting enrollment to the year 2000 highly speculative. The only way this process can be handled is by generating several conceptually meaningful series of enrollment projections. The three sets of enrollment projections in this report are based on…

Evaluation of the State Department of Finance enrollment projection techniques suggest they have become less accurate over time in projecting community college enrollments. In light of the continual growth of the California system, accurate enrollment projection techniques are needed if colleges are to be effectively planned and managed. The basic…

Miami-Dade Community College experienced continuous growth from 1960 through 1971. But the college suffered an unexpected sharp decline in enrollment for fall, 1972. A college-wide committee was formed to develop criteria to be used in the staff reduction program for the 1973-74 year. It was decided that, when it was determined that a department…