Community colleges are in a good position to obtain reliable long-term forecasts of future demand. An approach developed at Johnson County Community College in Overland Park, Kansas, has enabled the college to assist other community institutions in their parallel planning efforts. (Author/MLF)

Fictitious data for a hypothetical county are used to illustrate the basic terminology and methodologies which may be used in population and enrollment projections. Assignment material together with sample computer solutions are provided. The appendices include material on the following topics: (1) major elements of a community needs survey; (2)…

This document presents a modified cohort survival model which can be of use in making enrollment projections. The model begins by analytically profiling an area's residents. Each person's demographic characteristics--sex, age, place of residence--are recorded in the computer memory. Four major input variables are then incorporated into the model:…

The impact of decreasing enrollments is being felt by many postsecondary institutions. Some institutions have been forced to close as a result of their failure to recognize the problem and their consequent entrapment in a vicious spiral: decreasing enrollments bring about reduced revenues; declining income results in personnel and program…