With the continued support of membership, this is the fourth year that American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers (AACRAO) has conducted 60-Second Surveys. The purpose of these snapshot surveys is to gather a broad-brush stroke perspective on practice. With that in mind, it is understood that the way the questions are…

The purpose of the July 2015 60 Second Survey was to gain a snapshot understanding of a handful of admission practices that were suggested as topics of interest by the membership. Data cleaning resulted in 808 usable responses representing a variety of institutional types, sizes, controls and locations, with the majority representing U.S. and…

The academic program life cycle (APLC) concept states each program's life flows through several stages: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. A mixed-influence diffusion growth model is fitted to annual enrollment data on academic programs to analyze the factors determining progress of academic programs through their life cycles. The…

Each budget year, the Ministry of Education responds to concerns about chronic underfunding of public education by asserting that the ministry is providing its "highest funding ever" during a sustained period of declining student enrolment. This assertion of the "highest funding ever" continues in "Budget 2011,"…

This newsletter highlights research results on the Mobility of Transfer Students (MTS), a branch of research conducted under the auspices of the Student Transitions Project (STP). In this annual study, students enrolled in the Fall of 2007 in BC colleges, university colleges, and institutes were followed into calendar year 2008 to identify those…

In March of each year, the ministry publishes the Operating Grants Manual showing estimated funding allocations for school districts for the upcoming school year. These estimates are based on enrolment projections. On September 30 of the new school year, enrolment is counted and the grants are recalculated based on actual enrolment. The ministry…

This newsletter summarizes the movement of transfer students from British Columbia (BC) colleges, university colleges, and institutes (sending Institutions) into BC universities from the Fall of 2006 into calendar year 2007. Predictions for 2008 are also provided along with trends from Fall 2003 to the present. Transfer students are classified…

This report presents facts and figures on British Columbia's education for 2012. It is divided into the following seven sections: (1) Schools, which covers: (a) Number of public schools; (b) Number of independent (private) schools; (c) School closures; (d) Rural schools and students; (e) School-district amalgamation; and (f) School safety: Seismic…

Each year BC Stats, Ministry of Labour and Citizens' Services, projects the population of British Columbia (BC) and its regions. These projections are based on assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration levels. Assumptions are derived from demographic trends modified to include potential impacts of future economic factors. The…

A Markov process is used to project student enrollment for grades 1-12 for the school years 1971-1986. Absorbing Markov chain theory is used to estimate grade times, the time spent in each grade, and probabilities of eventual graduation or dropout for each grade level. (Author)

Enrollment estimates for public and private schools in Manitoba, Canada, have been produced by the Finance Branch of the Department of Education for the years 1987-1991. The purpose of these estimates is to provide an indication of future enrollment trends to facilitate planning of financial requirements. The estimating process is based upon…

Discusses how to check the accuracy of different enrollment projection methods for different educational systems. (Author)

This annotated bibliography of 59 books and 92 articles covers two years of Canadian and American literature dealing with declining enrollment. It is a selective list in that the major emphasis has been placed on the implications and repercussions of this trend, although some of the major works dealing with the statistical aspect of the subject…

Enrollment projections are vital to the planning of any educational system where capacity and growth are important elements. As a portion of a study of engineering education in Ontario, this document presents enrollment projections up to academic year 1980-81, that size and number of engineering schools to be needed might be established. Tables…

The Worth Report has provided unduly high projections for full-time student enrolments in Alberta. (Author)