In this report, the Commission considers a proposal by the Santa Clara Community College District to establish an educational center in the community of Canyon Country. The district was created in 1968 when the communities of Valencia, Newhall, Canyon Country, Agua Dulce, and Val Verde voted overwhelmingly for its establishment. It serves a…

A review of the literature concerning local school roll forecasting describes the theoretical model common to most local education agency (LEA) forecasts, identifies a variety of issues relevant to this area of LEA planning, and suggests some opportunities for improvement in LEA school roll forecasting. (Author/CB)

This paper estimates the expenditures, revenue, and related implications for Ontario's Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology (Canada), using a specific set of hypotheses and assumptions. The Ministry of Training, Colleges, and Universities estimates a demand for an additional 37,400 spaces (a 27% increase in full-time enrollment) by 2010. In…

Summaries of two recent publications by the National Center for Education Statistics show a continued decline in enrollment. A gradual enrollment increase is expected to begin in 1984. Increases are also projected for school expenditures and teacher demand. (MLF)

Intending to provide school administrators with technical information to assist in preparing student enrollment projections and techniques in analyzing projections, this paper explores the state of the art, major factors affecting school populations, and the Cohort Survival Ratio Method. The authors caution that there are no absolutely reliable…

In this report, the Commission considers a proposal by the Yuba Community College District to convert the Woodland Educational Center, currently a state-approved off-campus center of Yuba College, to a full-service community college. The proposal is in response to significant population growth occurring in Yolo county and adjacent areas. The table…

Designed for educational planners and decision makers, this report describes the application of mathematical procedures to depict the relationship of elements within models which represent the flow of students through an educational system. The introductory section includes a discussion of the history of the use of planning models in education and…

Analysis of demographic trends suggests that, despite a recent rise in numbers of births, total school enrollment in North Carolina may continue to decline into the 1990s. (Author/MLF)

Higher education in the 1980s and the early 1990s will change as a result of reductions in the number of Americans reaching the traditional college enrollment age. In order to survive in the coming decades, many colleges and universities are making an effort to appeal to segments of the population that are not within the traditional age range. (JN)

Presented are enrollment projections for primary and secondary school students in England through the 1980s and beyond in the light of information on the school population and births up to 1981 and of alternative forecasts of births in future years. Projections of the numbers leaving school are also discussed. (Author/IS)

Enrollment managers in search of a flexible, comprehensive student flow model will find the Markov Chain a suitable mathematical process for use in tracking students through their academic careers. Furthermore, projections can be made based on previous enrollment patterns, and many scenarios can be examined under various constraints and…

This paper explores the future of school finance through an examination of the size and distribution of future populations, the future of the economy and its effect on money available for schools, and the political context within which decisions will be made. It projects this knowledge over the decade of the 1980s and makes future predictions…

The paper presents an overview of enrollment in college-level geography courses from 1949 to 1978 and predicts enrollment trends for the near future. All data are based on the Directory of College Geography of the United States. First published in 1949, the directory lists all college and university departments offering geography, the size and…

It appears that both overall enrollments in higher education and art major enrollments will decline over the next decade. Art educators need to prepare for this uncertain future by determining program priorities, building program quality, developing enrollment strategies, and maintaining the necessary flexibility to respond to changing future…

It is demonstrated that although governments in France, Sweden, and the United Kingdom failed to foresee the scale of expansion of demand for higher education in the 1960s, as well as the slackening of private demand in the early 1970s, they succeeded in meeting short-term private demand. (KC)