Describes how to use demographic studies to project school enrollments. Includes collecting historical enrollment data, contacting the state department of health and vital statistics, selecting an enrollment-projection method, meeting with local planning and construction department officials, determining the age of the community, and performing…

A forecast prepared by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) indicates that total enrollment in schools and colleges will drop slightly this school year, while the total cost of education will increase by about $12 billion over last year. (Author/MLF)

Explores current trends in school enrollment, projected enrollment through 2000, and implications for educators. A new baby "boomette", beginning in 1973 and peaking in 1988, will increase school enrollments throughout the 1990s. After 1995, kindergarten enrollment will decline and secondary enrollment, now steadily declining, will…

Enrollment forecasting is based on six basic environmental assumptions: fertility and birth rates, infant mortality rates, economic conditions, organizational structure and boundaries, organizational and administrative policy, and natural disasters and climatic conditions. The most common mathematical forecasting methods include cohort-survival…

Summaries of two recent publications by the National Center for Education Statistics show a continued decline in enrollment. A gradual enrollment increase is expected to begin in 1984. Increases are also projected for school expenditures and teacher demand. (MLF)

A realistic projection of the number of students expected in each of the next ten years, accompanied by a staffing chart showing the personnel needs of the district for the next decade, can help boards of education make plans. (Author/MLF)

To make effective long-term plans, school districts need enrollment projections obtained from objective census-style data and the more subjective information available through interviews with local decision-makers. (MLF)

Proposes a method of accurately predicting neighborhood population through the idea of a neighborhood life cycle that draws a connection between the overall projected population and the specific demographic characteristics of individual neighborhoods. (MLF)

Describes a program for enrollment projections in sufficient detail to communicate the output generated and techniques utilized. Interspersed with the text are 14 tables. (MLF)

Statistics prepared by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) indicate that enrollment for the nonpublic school will show modest signs of growth. (Author)

Reclaiming readily available government, commercial, and other facilities for school use can help solve many of the present and future school housing problems. (Author/MLF)

Discusses problems public schools will encounter as a result of the decline in school enrollment and suggests some practical strategies and techniques that will help school administrators solve these problems. (Author/MLF)

The "baby boomette," occurring since 1973, differs from the earlier "baby boom" in that the maximum number of births, the rate of growth, and the size of the yearly increase will all be less. Also, the rate of decline will be slower and the length of the boomette will be shorter. (MLF)

The multiyear forecasting model is a device to focus on the input side of the educational process--staff, materials, facilities, and services. An annual budget can be developed from the multiyear work plan, with specific policy statements being made to achieve the outcomes initially determined to be the goals and objectives of the district. (MLF)

Enrollment planning is the basis of all school system planning. Focuses on assessing the impact of a choice plan on student enrollment planning. Issues involved include home schooling, school employees' choice, and private kindergarten programs. Administrators are advised to evaluate existing forecasting methodologies. (MLF)