The School of Management (SOM) at Union Graduate College (UGC) used student trajectories to forecast both individual course and total enrollments within and across various student categories. (The term "trajectory" refers to the enrollment pattern of the average student in a particular category.) The trajectories and the resultant…

The decision to enroll in college is not a single choice but rather the final step of a much longer process in which students make a series of choices regarding how to think about, research, and decide on enrolling. Traditionally, enrollment managers have used the enrollment funnel as a model to focus resources and efforts on acquiring and…

Projecting higher education enrollments requires a thorough understanding of the phenomena that impact student enrollment. Popular theories that have been used to project enrollment include human capital theory and consumer choice theory; more than a dozen other theories have also been cited in the literature. This article situates selected…

With the continued support of membership, this is the fourth year that American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers (AACRAO) has conducted 60-Second Surveys. The purpose of these snapshot surveys is to gather a broad-brush stroke perspective on practice. With that in mind, it is understood that the way the questions are…

The purpose of the July 2015 60 Second Survey was to gain a snapshot understanding of a handful of admission practices that were suggested as topics of interest by the membership. Data cleaning resulted in 808 usable responses representing a variety of institutional types, sizes, controls and locations, with the majority representing U.S. and…

As external forces demand change in the delivery of postsecondary education and institutions seek to take advantage of new opportunities, the potential for achieving higher levels of student and institutional success is vast. New technologies, communication tools, data use, and organizational constructs present key factors in improving the…

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate a solution to the annual problem of school district grade-wise enrollment projection. From the mathematical forecasting models considered, the exponential smoothing model is chosen and criteria for its evaluation specified. The model is then applied to data from three different school districts, and the…

There is a great deal of discussion and concern within the postsecondary education community regarding the future of postsecondary enrollments. The Council staff has followed this debate and has identified critical population factors that will influence future enrollments in Oregon institutions. In light of this, the Council has presented…

Presents a simulation model that might prove to be a powerful predictor of future enrollment for post-secondary study in Manitoba. This simulation involves representing the abrupt changes in individual and group behavior resulting from crosspressures, conflicting circumstances, and their related socio-economic conditions. (Author/WM)

Central Michigan University is one of 15 state supported four-year institutions of higher education in Michigan and draws its undergraduate enrollment from every county in the state. The document discusses plans for 1985-86 based on assumptions regarding the state population and statistics gathered in 1976-77. These include a headcount enrollment,…

To make effective long-term plans, school districts need enrollment projections obtained from objective census-style data and the more subjective information available through interviews with local decision-makers. (MLF)

Today's enrollment situation is uncertain, especially in comparison with recent past. Some institutions experience growth in student numbers, while in others enrollments plateau or decline. Nontraditional students challenge a variety of institutional arrangements. Many past assumptions for predicting enrollments are inadequate. Projection studies…

Two methods used to predict enrollment at Montgomery College in Maryland are compared and evaluated, and the administrative context in which they are used is considered. The two methods involve time series analysis (curve fitting) and indicator techniques (yield from components). (MSE)

Policy analysis provides the framework for enrollment planning in the Arizona university system. The new planning model consists of a statement of principles, a five-year strategic plan, an enrollment demand model, determination of institutional capacities, development of strategies to meet demand, and analysis of policy choices and consequences.…

Designed for educational planners and decision makers, this report describes the application of mathematical procedures to depict the relationship of elements within models which represent the flow of students through an educational system. The introductory section includes a discussion of the history of the use of planning models in education and…