In December 2020, the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education released projections for future high school graduating classes in its 10th edition of "Knocking at the College Door" [ED610996]. At the time, it was unknown whether or not the projections based on pre-pandemic data would match the reality to come. This report…

Institutional staff such as enrollment managers, business officers, and institutional researchers are often asked to predict enrollments. Developing any predictive model can be intimidating, particularly when there is no textbook to follow. This paper provides a practical framework for generating enrollment projection options and for evaluating…

The decision to enroll in college is not a single choice but rather the final step of a much longer process in which students make a series of choices regarding how to think about, research, and decide on enrolling. Traditionally, enrollment managers have used the enrollment funnel as a model to focus resources and efforts on acquiring and…

This study developed statistical models to forecast international undergraduate student enrollment at a Midwest university. The authors constructed a Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model with input variables to estimate future enrollment. This model reflected enrollment patterns by semester through highlighting seasonality.…

As widespread restrictions to in-person instruction continue to impact higher education, community colleges in particular are seeing significant enrollment declines. Implications to budgeting, the success of students, and the uncertainty of current and future recessions are challenging enrollment managers across the United States. This article…

The January 2020 60-Second Survey was designed to serve two purposes: (1) to benchmark institutional-level use of enrollment management and strategic enrollment management (SEM) plans; and (2) gather individual interest in enrollment management research (Appendix A). The survey was open to all American Association of Collegiate Registrars and…

This report presents the findings from the Kansas Association of School Boards (KASB's) 2016-17 Enrollment Projections for the state of Kansas as a whole, and also provides instructions on how these projections can be accessed at the district level. Key Findings include: (1) Total headcount enrollment will see modest increases from 2016-17 through…

This report provides information on the 15 Iowa community colleges for the fall of 2020 including: (1) Students; (2) Students Demographics; (3) Academics; (4) Program Type; (5) Transfer Major Programs; (6) Career Clusters; (7) Online Enrollment; (8) Joint Enrollment; (9) Immediate Enrollment; and (10) Enrollment Projections. The report also…

The Iowa Department of Education collects enrollment information from all 15 community colleges. This report summarizes several aspects of community college enrollment. Some highlights of this report include: (1) Fall 2019 enrollment decreased 1.7 percent to 88,375 students; (2) Part-time enrollment remained larger than full-time students and…

Both an art and a science, enrollment projections have become a major component to effective college and university fiscal planning. With stagnant or declining state budget support for public higher education along with an increasing emphasis on revenue generation, never before has predicting the size of an entering class become more imperative.…

This report presents the findings from the Kansas Association of School Boards' (KASB's) 2017-18 Enrollment Projections for the state of Kansas as a whole, and also provides instructions on how these projections can be accessed at the district level. Findings include: (1) The projected enrollment is expected to increase 0.4 percent next year,…

This report summarizes the findings from the Kansas Association of School Boards (KASB) 2019-20 Enrollment Projections and describes the new methods KASB members can use to access this information. KASB's enrollment projections for the 2020-21 through 2024-25 school years indicate: (1) Total enrollment will decline from 499,331 in 2019-20 to…

No one policy exists as a nexus between K-12 public education and post-secondary education in the United States. Three critical factors suggest that many colleges will be financially insolvent after 2020. The first is declining K-12 birthrates, which are enrollment feeders of post-secondary colleges or universities. As a result of the declining…

Physics bachelor's degree production has more than doubled since the recent low in 1999, and enrollment in U.S. undergraduate physics programs continues to increase. The all-time high of 7,329 bachelor's degrees in the class of 2013 represents the 14th consecutive year that the number of physics bachelor's conferred has increased.…

The Iowa Department of Education collects enrollment information from all 15 community colleges. This report summarizes several aspects of community college enrollment, including: (1) Fall 2017 enrollment decreased less than one percent to 90,531 students; (2) Part-time enrollment reached a record high, comprising 62.2 percent of total fall…