As part of school district planning and projecting future enrollments, demographers need to factor the impact of new housing developments by using student yields. While resources are available that provide statewide student yields, they may not best reflect the demographic attributes of a school district's attendance area. In this case study of a…

Enrollment estimates for public and private schools in Manitoba, Canada, have been produced by the Finance Branch of the Department of Education for the years 1987-1991. The purpose of these estimates is to provide an indication of future enrollment trends to facilitate planning of financial requirements. The estimating process is based upon…

ENROLV2 is a FORTRAN coded enrollment projection program designed to forecast public school student enrollment from a sample background data matrix. With this program the user can employ a variety of approaches to the projection of both initial grade data and the body of the background matrix. Beginning with the background data (the enrollment for…

The enrollment estimates contained in this report represent the second set of institutional enrollment projections of oncampus headcount for public postsecondary education in Minnesota prepared by the staff of the Minnesota Higher Education Coordinating Commission. The projections are similar to earlier enrollment forecasts by the commission and…

Offers a formula to refine enrollment projections at the school district level. The formula builds on the traditional cohort survival technique and is based on the assumption that what has happened in the past will continue to happen in the future. Instructions and sample projections are provided. (Author/WD)

A master plan for school facilities should be brought up to date at least every five years. Outlines sections of a master plan and describes ways to project future enrollment figures. (MLF)

Explores current trends in school enrollment, projected enrollment through 2000, and implications for educators. A new baby "boomette", beginning in 1973 and peaking in 1988, will increase school enrollments throughout the 1990s. After 1995, kindergarten enrollment will decline and secondary enrollment, now steadily declining, will…

Enrollment estimates for public and private schools in Manitoba, Canada, have been produced by the Schools' Finance Branch of the Department of Education for the years 1988-1992. The purpose of these estimates is to provide an indication of future enrollment trends to facilitate planning of financial requirements. The estimating process is based…

Every 2 years the State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (SCHEV) works with the 15 public four-year institutions and Richard Bland College to produce a comprehensive set of enrollment projections to advise legislators and policy makers about expected enrollments for the next 6 years. This report is the result of that study for 2003.…

Projections for school districts in Maine used a modified cohort survival projection technique. The technique's major factors are past district enrollment and live birth statistics. Projected enrollments are compared with actual enrollments using Pearson product-moment correlations and percentages of error. This provides accurate projections and…

This document completes the series of educational forecasts for the Province of Quebec. Enrollment forecasts are based on three hypotheses of growth at the public and private level. Projections are supplied for all the administrative districts and the province as a whole. (Author/MLF)

School boards and superintendents should take steps to minimize the community's shock reaction to lower school enrollments, school consolidation, and school closings. (Author)

To make effective long-term plans, school districts need enrollment projections obtained from objective census-style data and the more subjective information available through interviews with local decision-makers. (MLF)

Proposes a method of accurately predicting neighborhood population through the idea of a neighborhood life cycle that draws a connection between the overall projected population and the specific demographic characteristics of individual neighborhoods. (MLF)

Intending to provide school administrators with technical information to assist in preparing student enrollment projections and techniques in analyzing projections, this paper explores the state of the art, major factors affecting school populations, and the Cohort Survival Ratio Method. The authors caution that there are no absolutely reliable…