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McCaffrey, Daniel F.; Castellano, Katherine E.; Lockwood, J. R. – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2015
Student growth percentiles (SGPs) express students' current observed scores as percentile ranks in the distribution of scores among students with the same prior-year scores. A common concern about SGPs at the student level, and mean or median SGPs (MGPs) at the aggregate level, is potential bias due to test measurement error (ME). Shang,…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Accuracy, Achievement Gains, Students
Weiss, Michael J.; Lockwood, J. R.; McCaffrey, Daniel F. – MDRC, 2014
In many experimental evaluations in the social and medical sciences, individuals are randomly assigned to a treatment arm or a control arm of the experiment. After treatment assignment is determined, individuals within one or both experimental arms are frequently grouped together (e.g., within classrooms or schools, through shared case managers,…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Randomized Controlled Trials, Correlation, Computation
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Weiss, Michael J.; Lockwood, J. R.; McCaffrey, Daniel F. – Journal of Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2016
In the "individually randomized group treatment" (IRGT) experimental design, individuals are first randomly assigned to a treatment arm or a control arm, but then within each arm, are grouped together (e.g., within classrooms/schools, through shared case managers, in group therapy sessions, through shared doctors, etc.) to receive…
Descriptors: Randomized Controlled Trials, Error of Measurement, Control Groups, Experimental Groups
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Lockwood, J. R.; Castellano, Katherine E. – Grantee Submission, 2015
This article suggests two alternative statistical approaches for estimating student growth percentiles (SGP). The first is to estimate percentile ranks of current test scores conditional on past test scores directly, by modeling the conditional cumulative distribution functions, rather than indirectly through quantile regressions. This would…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Achievement Gains, Academic Achievement, Computation
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McCaffrey, Daniel F.; Yuan, Kun; Savitsky, Terrance D.; Lockwood, J. R.; Edelen, Maria O. – Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 2015
We examine the factor structure of scores from the CLASS-S protocol obtained from observations of middle school classroom teaching. Factor analysis has been used to support both interpretations of scores from classroom observation protocols, like CLASS-S, and the theories about teaching that underlie them. However, classroom observations contain…
Descriptors: Factor Structure, Multivariate Analysis, Scores, Factor Analysis
Lockwood, J. R.; Castellano, Katherine E. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2017
Student Growth Percentiles (SGPs) increasingly are being used in the United States for inferences about student achievement growth and educator effectiveness. Emerging research has indicated that SGPs estimated from observed test scores have large measurement errors. As such, little is known about "true" SGPs, which are defined in terms…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Correlation, Student Characteristics, Academic Achievement
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Lockwood, J. R.; McCaffrey, Daniel F. – Grantee Submission, 2015
Regression, weighting and related approaches to estimating a population mean from a sample with nonrandom missing data often rely on the assumption that conditional on covariates, observed samples can be treated as random. Standard methods using this assumption generally will fail to yield consistent estimators when covariates are measured with…
Descriptors: Simulation, Computation, Statistical Analysis, Statistical Bias
McCaffrey, Daniel F.; Lockwood, J. R.; Setodji, Claude M. – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2011
Inverse probability weighting (IPW) estimates are widely used in applications where data are missing due to nonresponse or censoring or in observational studies of causal effects where the counterfactuals cannot be observed. This extensive literature has shown the estimators to be consistent and asymptotically normal under very general conditions,…
Descriptors: Computation, Probability, Weighted Scores, Error of Measurement
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Lockwood, J. R.; McCaffrey, Daniel F. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2014
A common strategy for estimating treatment effects in observational studies using individual student-level data is analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) or hierarchical variants of it, in which outcomes (often standardized test scores) are regressed on pretreatment test scores, other student characteristics, and treatment group indicators. Measurement…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Scores, Statistical Analysis, Computation
Stacy, Brian; Lockwood, J. R.; McCaffrey, Daniel – Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, 2012
Researchers and policymakers are interested in the causal effects of educational inputs on student achievement. Unfortunately, it is not possible to directly observe student learning, so test score data is often used as an approximate measure. To measure their achievement at a given point in time (e.g., in the spring of the school year) students…
Descriptors: Productivity, Guessing (Tests), Knowledge Level, Standardized Tests
McCaffrey, Daniel F.; Lockwood, J. R.; Koretz, Daniel M.; Hamilton, Laura S. – RAND Corporation, 2003
Value-added modeling (VAM) to estimate school and teacher effects is currently of considerable interest to researchers and policymakers. Recent reports suggest that VAM demonstrates the importance of teachers as a source of variance in student outcomes. Policymakers see VAM as a possible component of education reform through improved teacher…
Descriptors: Educational Change, Accountability, Inferences, Models