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Vegetabile, Brian G.; Stout-Oswald, Stephanie A.; Davis, Elysia Poggi; Baram, Tallie Z.; Stern, Hal S. – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2019
Predictability of behavior is an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, marketing, and education. When a sequence of actions performed by an individual can be modeled as a stationary time-homogeneous Markov chain the predictability of the individual's behavior can be quantified by the entropy rate of the process. This…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Prediction, Behavior, Computation
Dorie, Vincent; Harada, Masataka; Carnegie, Nicole Bohme; Hill, Jennifer – Grantee Submission, 2016
When estimating causal effects, unmeasured confounding and model misspecification are both potential sources of bias. We propose a method to simultaneously address both issues in the form of a semi-parametric sensitivity analysis. In particular, our approach incorporates Bayesian Additive Regression Trees into a two-parameter sensitivity analysis…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Mathematical Models, Causal Models, Statistical Bias