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Polyzou, Agoritsa; Nikolakopoulos, Athanasios N.; Karypis, George – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2019
Course selection is a crucial and challenging problem that students have to face while navigating through an undergraduate degree program. The decisions they make shape their future in ways that they cannot conceive in advance. Available departmental sample degree plans are not personalized for each student, and personal discussion time with an…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Course Selection (Students), Undergraduate Students, Decision Making
Falakmasir, Mohammad; Yudelson, Michael; Ritter, Steve; Koedinger, Ken – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2015
Bayesian Knowledge Tracing (BKT) has been in wide use for modeling student skill acquisition in Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITS). BKT tracks and updates student's latent mastery of a skill as a probability distribution of a binary variable. BKT does so by accounting for observed student successes in applying the skill correctly, where success is…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Skill Development, Intelligent Tutoring Systems
Fu, Jianbin; Zapata, Diego; Mavronikolas, Elia – ETS Research Report Series, 2014
Simulation or game-based assessments produce outcome data and process data. In this article, some statistical models that can potentially be used to analyze data from simulation or game-based assessments are introduced. Specifically, cognitive diagnostic models that can be used to estimate latent skills from outcome data so as to scale these…
Descriptors: Simulation, Evaluation Methods, Games, Data Collection
Rusconi, Patrice; Marelli, Marco; D'Addario, Marco; Russo, Selena; Cherubini, Paolo – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014
Evidence evaluation is a crucial process in many human activities, spanning from medical diagnosis to impression formation. The present experiments investigated which, if any, normative model best conforms to people's intuition about the value of the obtained evidence. Psychologists, epistemologists, and philosophers of science have proposed…
Descriptors: Experimental Psychology, Models, Intuition, Evidence
Gorantla, Siva Kumar – ProQuest LLC, 2012
The context for this work is two-agent team decision systems. An "agent" is an intelligent entity that can measure some aspect of its environment, process information and possibly influence the environment through its action. In a collaborative two-agent team decision system, the agents can be coupled by noisy or noiseless interactions…
Descriptors: Participative Decision Making, Probability, Interaction, Evaluation Methods
Penedo, Janaina Rodrigues; Diniz, Morganna; Ferreira, Simone Bacellar Leal; Silveira, Denis S.; Capra, Eliane – Interactive Technology and Smart Education, 2012
Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to analyze the usability of a remote learning system in its initial development phase, using a quantitative usability evaluation method through Markov models. Design/methodology/approach: The paper opted for an exploratory study. The data of interest of the research correspond to the possible accesses of users…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Evaluation Methods, Probability, Evaluation Research
Rijmen, Frank; Vansteelandt, Kristof; De Boeck, Paul – Psychometrika, 2008
The increasing use of diary methods calls for the development of appropriate statistical methods. For the resulting panel data, latent Markov models can be used to model both individual differences and temporal dynamics. The computational burden associated with these models can be overcome by exploiting the conditional independence relations…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Patients, Regression (Statistics), Probability
Levy, Roy; Mislevy, Robert J. – US Department of Education, 2004
The challenges of modeling students' performance in simulation-based assessments include accounting for multiple aspects of knowledge and skill that arise in different situations and the conditional dependencies among multiple aspects of performance in a complex assessment. This paper describes a Bayesian approach to modeling and estimating…
Descriptors: Probability, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods, Bayesian Statistics