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Jolien Cremers; Laust Hvas Mortensen; Claus Thorn Ekstrøm – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
Longitudinal studies including a time-to-event outcome in social research often use a form of event history analysis to analyse the influence of time-varying endogenous covariates on the time-to-event outcome. Many standard event history models however assume the covariates of interest to be exogenous and inclusion of an endogenous covariate may…
Descriptors: Longitudinal Studies, Social Science Research, Research Methodology, Bayesian Statistics
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Fox, Julian; Osth, Adam F. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2022
In episodic memory research, there is a debate concerning whether decision-making in item recognition and source memory is better explained by models that assume all-or-none retrieval processes or continuous underlying strengths. One aspect in which these classes of models tend to differ is their predictions regarding the ability to retrieve…
Descriptors: Recognition (Psychology), Bayesian Statistics, Models, Research Design
Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianschen; Yavuz, Sinan; Lyu, Weicong – Grantee Submission, 2022
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate and evaluate the use of "Bayesian dynamic borrowing"(Viele et al, in Pharm Stat 13:41-54, 2014) as a means of systematically utilizing historical information with specific applications to large-scale educational assessments. Dynamic borrowing via Bayesian hierarchical models is a special case…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Prediction, Accuracy
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Giuseppe Arena; Joris Mulder; Roger Th. A. J. Leenders – Sociological Methods & Research, 2024
In relational event networks, the tendency for actors to interact with each other depends greatly on the past interactions between the actors in a social network. Both the volume of past interactions and the time that has elapsed since the past interactions affect the actors' decision-making to interact with other actors in the network. Recently…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Social Networks, Memory, Decision Making
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Thompson, Yutian T.; Song, Hairong; Shi, Dexin; Liu, Zhengkui – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2021
Conventional approaches for selecting a reference indicator (RI) could lead to misleading results in testing for measurement invariance (MI). Several newer quantitative methods have been available for more rigorous RI selection. However, it is still unknown how well these methods perform in terms of correctly identifying a truly invariant item to…
Descriptors: Measurement, Statistical Analysis, Selection, Comparative Analysis
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Logacev, Pavel – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2023
A number of studies have found evidence for the so-called "ambiguity advantage," that is, faster processing of ambiguous sentences compared with unambiguous counterparts. While a number of proposals regarding the mechanism underlying this phenomenon have been made, the empirical evidence so far is far from unequivocal. It is compatible…
Descriptors: Phrase Structure, Accuracy, Ambiguity (Semantics), Sentences
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Abu-Ghazalah, Rashid M.; Dubins, David N.; Poon, Gregory M. K. – Applied Measurement in Education, 2023
Multiple choice results are inherently probabilistic outcomes, as correct responses reflect a combination of knowledge and guessing, while incorrect responses additionally reflect blunder, a confidently committed mistake. To objectively resolve knowledge from responses in an MC test structure, we evaluated probabilistic models that explicitly…
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Multiple Choice Tests, Probability, Models
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Lyu, Weicong; Kim, Jee-Seon; Suk, Youmi – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
This article presents a latent class model for multilevel data to identify latent subgroups and estimate heterogeneous treatment effects. Unlike sequential approaches that partition data first and then estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) within classes, we employ a Bayesian procedure to jointly estimate mixing probability, selection, and…
Descriptors: Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Bayesian Statistics, Causal Models, Statistical Inference
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Mulder, J.; Raftery, A. E. – Sociological Methods & Research, 2022
The Schwarz or Bayesian information criterion (BIC) is one of the most widely used tools for model comparison in social science research. The BIC, however, is not suitable for evaluating models with order constraints on the parameters of interest. This article explores two extensions of the BIC for evaluating order-constrained models, one where a…
Descriptors: Models, Social Science Research, Programming Languages, Bayesian Statistics
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Buyukatak, Emrah; Anil, Duygu – International Journal of Assessment Tools in Education, 2022
The purpose of this research was to determine classification accuracy of the factors affecting the success of students' reading skills based on PISA 2018 data by using Artificial Neural Networks, Decision Trees, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naive Bayes data mining classification methods and to examine the general characteristics of success groups. In…
Descriptors: Classification, Accuracy, Reading Tests, Achievement Tests
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De Bondt, Niki; De Maeyer, Sven; Donche, Vincent; Van Petegem, Peter – High Ability Studies, 2021
The aim of this study is to provide -- first theoretically and, subsequently, through an empirical analysis -- a rationale for including the concept of overexcitability in talent research, beyond the five-factor model personality traits. Moreover, the empirical part of this study makes use of an innovative statistical method to address the problem…
Descriptors: Personality Traits, Talent, Research, Gifted
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Yamaguchi, Kazuhiro – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2023
Understanding whether or not different types of students master various attributes can aid future learning remediation. In this study, two-level diagnostic classification models (DCMs) were developed to represent the probabilistic relationship between external latent classes and attribute mastery patterns. Furthermore, variational Bayesian (VB)…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Statistical Inference, Sampling
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Qiao, Xin; Jiao, Hong; He, Qiwei – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2023
Multiple group modeling is one of the methods to address the measurement noninvariance issue. Traditional studies on multiple group modeling have mainly focused on item responses. In computer-based assessments, joint modeling of response times and action counts with item responses helps estimate the latent speed and action levels in addition to…
Descriptors: Multivariate Analysis, Models, Item Response Theory, Statistical Distributions
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Fujimoto, Ken A. – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2020
Multilevel bifactor item response theory (IRT) models are commonly used to account for features of the data that are related to the sampling and measurement processes used to gather those data. These models conventionally make assumptions about the portions of the data structure that represent these features. Unfortunately, when data violate these…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Item Response Theory, Achievement Tests, Secondary School Students
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Jin, Kuan-Yu; Wu, Yi-Jhen; Chen, Hui-Fang – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2022
For surveys of complex issues that entail multiple steps, multiple reference points, and nongradient attributes (e.g., social inequality), this study proposes a new multiprocess model that integrates ideal-point and dominance approaches into a treelike structure (IDtree). In the IDtree, an ideal-point approach describes an individual's attitude…
Descriptors: Likert Scales, Item Response Theory, Surveys, Responses
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