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Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianschen; Yavuz, Sinan; Lyu, Weicong – Grantee Submission, 2022
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate and evaluate the use of "Bayesian dynamic borrowing"(Viele et al, in Pharm Stat 13:41-54, 2014) as a means of systematically utilizing historical information with specific applications to large-scale educational assessments. Dynamic borrowing via Bayesian hierarchical models is a special case…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Prediction, Accuracy
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Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianshen; Lyu, Weicong; Yavuz, Sinan – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
David Kaplan; Jianshen Chen; Weicong Lyu; Sinan Yavuz – Grantee Submission, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
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Klima, André; Schlesinger, Thomas; Thurner, Paul W.; Küchenhoff, Helmut – Sociological Methods & Research, 2019
Our objective is the estimation of voter transitions between two consecutive parliamentary elections. Usually, such analyses have been based either on individual survey data or on aggregated data. To move beyond these methods and their respective problems, we propose the application of so-called hybrid models, which combine aggregate and…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Voting, Computation, Elections
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Sainan Xu; Jing Lu; Jiwei Zhang; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
With the growing attention on large-scale educational testing and assessment, the ability to process substantial volumes of response data becomes crucial. Current estimation methods within item response theory (IRT), despite their high precision, often pose considerable computational burdens with large-scale data, leading to reduced computational…
Descriptors: Educational Assessment, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Item Response Theory
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Kubsch, Marcus; Stamer, Insa; Steiner, Mara; Neumann, Knut; Parchmann, Ilka – Practical Assessment, Research & Evaluation, 2021
In light of the replication crisis in psychology, null-hypothesis significance testing (NHST) and "p"-values have been heavily criticized and various alternatives have been proposed, ranging from slight modifications of the current paradigm to banning "p"-values from journals. Since the physics education research community…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Bayesian Statistics, Educational Research, Science Education
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Sarafoglou, Alexandra; van der Heijden, Anna; Draws, Tim; Cornelisse, Joran; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan; Marsman, Maarten – Psychology Learning and Teaching, 2022
Current developments in the statistics community suggest that modern statistics education should be structured holistically, that is, by allowing students to work with real data and to answer concrete statistical questions, but also by educating them about alternative frameworks, such as Bayesian inference. In this article, we describe how we…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Thinking Skills, Undergraduate Students, Psychology
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Mimis, Mohamed; El Hajji, Mohamed; Es-saady, Youssef; Oueld Guejdi, Abdellah; Douzi, Hassan; Mammass, Driss – Education and Information Technologies, 2019
The educational recommendation system to provide support for academic guidance and adaptive learning has always been an important issue of research for smart education. A bad guidance can give rise to difficulties in further studies and can be extended to school dropout. This paper explores the potential of Educational Data Mining for academic…
Descriptors: Educational Counseling, Guidance, Educational Research, Data Collection
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Loftus, Mary; Madden, Michael G. – Teaching in Higher Education, 2020
How do we teach and learn with our students about data literacy, at the same time as Biesta (2015) calls for an emphasis on 'subjectification' i.e. 'the coming into presence of unique individual beings'? (Good Education in an Age of Measurement: Ethics, Politics, Democracy. Routledge) Our response to these challenges and the datafication of higher…
Descriptors: Teaching Methods, Data Analysis, Literacy, Learning Processes
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Liu, Qingtang; Zhang, Si; Wang, Qiyun; Chen, Wenli – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2018
Teachers' online discussion text data shed light on their reflective thinking. With the growing scale of text data, the traditional way of manual coding, however, has been challenged. In order to process the large-scale unstructured text data, it is necessary to integrate the inductive content analysis method and educational data mining…
Descriptors: Information Retrieval, Data Collection, Data Analysis, Discourse Analysis
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Wu, Mike; Davis, Richard L.; Domingue, Benjamin W.; Piech, Chris; Goodman, Noah – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2020
Item Response Theory (IRT) is a ubiquitous model for understanding humans based on their responses to questions, used in fields as diverse as education, medicine and psychology. Large modern datasets offer opportunities to capture more nuances in human behavior, potentially improving test scoring and better informing public policy. Yet larger…
Descriptors: Item Response Theory, Accuracy, Data Analysis, Public Policy
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Arenson, Ethan A.; Karabatsos, George – Grantee Submission, 2017
Item response models typically assume that the item characteristic (step) curves follow a logistic or normal cumulative distribution function, which are strictly monotone functions of person test ability. Such assumptions can be overly-restrictive for real item response data. We propose a simple and more flexible Bayesian nonparametric IRT model…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Item Response Theory, Nonparametric Statistics, Models
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Durksen, Tracy L.; Chu, Man-Wai; Ahmad, Zaheen F.; Radil, Amanda I.; Daniels, Lia M. – Social Psychology of Education: An International Journal, 2016
Self-determination theory (SDT) is one of the most well-known approaches to achievement motivation. However, the three basic psychological needs of SDT have not received equivalent attention in the literature: priority has been given to autonomy, followed by the need for competence, with research into relatedness lacking (Bachman and Stewart in…
Descriptors: Online Courses, Large Group Instruction, Electronic Learning, Psychological Needs
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Drummond, Gordon B.; Vowler, Sarah L. – Advances in Physiology Education, 2012
Most biological scientists conduct experiments to look for effects, and test the results statistically. One of the commonly used test is Student's t test. However, this test concentrates on a very limited question. The authors assume that there is no effect in the experiment, and then estimate the possibility that they could have obtained these…
Descriptors: Statistical Significance, Scientists, Tests, Biology
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Scheerens, Jaap; Luyten, Hans; van den Berg, Stéphanie M.; Glas, Cees A. W. – Educational Research and Evaluation, 2015
As expectations of the economic impact of educational attainment are soaring (Hanushek & Woessmann, 2009) and conjectures about successful national educational reforms (Mourshed, Chijioke, & Barber, 2010) are welcomed by educational policy-makers in many countries, a careful assessment of the empirical evidence for these kinds of claims is…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Educational Attainment, Educational Change, Comparative Education
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