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Alexandru Cernat; Vera Toepoel – International Journal of Social Research Methodology, 2024
Most of the social science research is based on the implied assumption that measurement error is the same across key socio-demographic groups and all differences in key statistics of interest are real. Nevertheless, there is evidence that this is not the case. In this paper, the authors tackle this important topic by investigating if data quality…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Low Income Groups, Probability, Foreign Countries
Mulder, J.; Raftery, A. E. – Sociological Methods & Research, 2022
The Schwarz or Bayesian information criterion (BIC) is one of the most widely used tools for model comparison in social science research. The BIC, however, is not suitable for evaluating models with order constraints on the parameters of interest. This article explores two extensions of the BIC for evaluating order-constrained models, one where a…
Descriptors: Models, Social Science Research, Programming Languages, Bayesian Statistics
Keusch, Florian; Bähr, Sebastian; Haas, Georg-Christoph; Kreuter, Frauke; Trappmann, Mark – Sociological Methods & Research, 2023
Researchers are combining self-reports from mobile surveys with passive data collection using sensors and apps on smartphones increasingly more often. While smartphones are commonly used in some groups of individuals, smartphone penetration is significantly lower in other groups. In addition, different operating systems (OSs) limit how mobile data…
Descriptors: National Surveys, Computer Software, Telecommunications, Handheld Devices
Tijmstra, Jesper; Bolsinova, Maria; Liaw, Yuan-Ling; Rutkowski, Leslie; Rutkowski, David – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2020
Although the root-mean squared deviation (RMSD) is a popular statistical measure for evaluating country-specific item-level misfit (i.e., differential item functioning [DIF]) in international large-scale assessment, this paper shows that its sensitivity to detect misfit may depend strongly on the proficiency distribution of the considered…
Descriptors: Test Items, Goodness of Fit, Probability, Accuracy
Bartolucci, Francesco; Pennoni, Fulvia; Vittadini, Giorgio – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2016
We extend to the longitudinal setting a latent class approach that was recently introduced by Lanza, Coffman, and Xu to estimate the causal effect of a treatment. The proposed approach enables an evaluation of multiple treatment effects on subpopulations of individuals from a dynamic perspective, as it relies on a latent Markov (LM) model that is…
Descriptors: Causal Models, Markov Processes, Longitudinal Studies, Probability
Stapleton, Laura M.; Kang, Yoonjeong – Sociological Methods & Research, 2018
This research empirically evaluates data sets from the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) for design effects of ignoring the sampling design in weighted two-level analyses. Currently, researchers may ignore the sampling design beyond the levels that they model which might result in incorrect inferences regarding hypotheses due to…
Descriptors: Probability, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Sampling, Inferences
Köhler, Carmen; Pohl, Steffi; Carstensen, Claus H. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2015
When competence tests are administered, subjects frequently omit items. These missing responses pose a threat to correctly estimating the proficiency level. Newer model-based approaches aim to take nonignorable missing data processes into account by incorporating a latent missing propensity into the measurement model. Two assumptions are typically…
Descriptors: Competence, Tests, Evaluation Methods, Adults
Calvert, Carol Elaine – Open Learning, 2014
This case study relates to distance learning students on open access courses. It demonstrates the use of predictive analytics to generate a model of the probabilities of success and retention at different points, or milestones, in a student journey. A core set of explanatory variables has been established and their varying relative importance at…
Descriptors: Academic Achievement, Distance Education, Open Education, Probability
Onwuegbuzie, Anthony J.; Levin, Joel R.; Ferron, John M. – Journal of Experimental Education, 2011
Building on previous arguments for why educational researchers should not provide effect-size estimates in the face of statistically nonsignificant outcomes (Robinson & Levin, 1997), Onwuegbuzie and Levin (2005) proposed a 3-step statistical approach for assessing group differences when multiple outcome measures are individually analyzed…
Descriptors: Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Analysis, Effect Size, Probability
Sant'Anna, Annibal Parracho; de Araujo Ribeiro, Rodrigo Otavio; Dutt-Ross, Steven – Social Indicators Research, 2011
A new form of composition of the indicators employed to generate the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI) is presented here. This form of composition is based on the assumption that random errors affect the measurement of each indicator. This assumption allows for replacing the vector of evaluations according to each indicator by vectors…
Descriptors: Probability, Municipalities, Social Indicators, International Organizations
Bramley, Tom – Educational Research, 2010
Background: A recent article published in "Educational Research" on the reliability of results in National Curriculum testing in England (Newton, "The reliability of results from national curriculum testing in England," "Educational Research" 51, no. 2: 181-212, 2009) suggested that: (1) classification accuracy can be…
Descriptors: National Curriculum, Educational Research, Testing, Measurement
Worts, Diana; Sacker, Amanda; McDonough, Peggy – Social Indicators Research, 2010
This paper addresses a key methodological challenge in the modeling of individual poverty dynamics--the influence of measurement error. Taking the US and Britain as case studies and building on recent research that uses latent Markov models to reduce bias, we examine how measurement error can affect a range of important poverty estimates. Our data…
Descriptors: Poverty, Measurement, Error of Measurement, Probability
Chan, Y. C.; Lam, Gladys L. T.; Chun, P. K. R.; So, Moon Tong Ernest – Child Abuse & Neglect: The International Journal, 2006
Objectives: To evaluate whether or not the original six-factor structure of the Child Abuse Potential (CAP) Inventory suggested by [Milner, J. S. (1986). "The Child Abuse Potential Inventory: Manual" (2nd ed.). DeKalb, IL: Psytec. Inc.] can be confirmed with data from a group of Chinese mothers in Hong Kong. Method: Eight hundred and…
Descriptors: Measures (Individuals), Factor Structure, Child Abuse, Mothers
Thorndike, Robert L. – 1980
In an invitational address to the Victorian Institute of Educational Research, the author discussed Bayesian theory and its relationship to the design and construction of tailored or adaptive tests. Bayesian thinking involves recognizing the role of prior probabilities and using these probabilities in combination with new data to arrive at future…
Descriptors: Adaptive Testing, Bayesian Statistics, Computer Assisted Testing, Error of Measurement
van der Linden, Wim J. – 1981
It has often been argued that all techniques of standard setting are arbitrary and likely to yield different results for different techniques or persons. This paper deals with a related but hitherto ignored aspect of standard setting, namely, the possibility that Angoff or Nedelsky judges misspecify the probabilities of the borderline student's…
Descriptors: Error of Measurement, Evaluators, Foreign Countries, Latent Trait Theory
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