Institutional staff such as enrollment managers, business officers, and institutional researchers are often asked to predict enrollments. Developing any predictive model can be intimidating, particularly when there is no textbook to follow. This paper provides a practical framework for generating enrollment projection options and for evaluating…

Assumptions, purposes, and factors of short range estimates and long range projections are discussed. The combined ratio method and the cohort-survival techniques were procedures used for making estimates and projections of student enrollment. The projection for the state system is discussed in terms of sub-projections for undergraduates,…

This paper summarizes the progress of the review of enrollment made by the New York State Regents. The analysis and projections in this paper are limited to full-time, undergraduate, degree-credit enrollment. Detailed data concerning historical trends and projections are contained in the appendix to this paper. The paper attempts to focus on two…

This paper examines enrollment figures for blacks in colleges during the period 1940 to 1972 and develops a statistic that is more significant than either enrollment figures or percentages in order to determine the progress made by these students. (Author/AM)

Validation studies, placement-enrollment comparisons, student surveys, and instructor interviews are discussed as operational methods in a synthesizing approach to undergraduate course placement evaluation. A range of suggested questions is coupled with various data sources in placement evaluation schemes and system procedures. (CM)

A methodology for forecasting enrollments at the individual unit level is presented. It can be used to produce detailed enrollment projections (e.g., by class level by semester by year) or more aggregate information (e.g., academic or fiscal year total enrollment), and it does not require the typical institution to obtain new data. (LBH)

The primary objectives of this manual are to provide enrollment forecasting practitioners with guidance about the use of specific forecasting techniques and procedures and to foster greater understanding of these important planning tools. In addition to general discussion of such topics as accuracy, uses, assumptions, and data requirements, the…

Recent negotiations to amend the tuition reciprocity agreement between Minnesota and Wisconsin would require Wisconsin students attending the University of Minnesota-Twin Cities campus to pay a tuition surcharge. Simulations of how the proposed changes would affect enrollment and revenue showed that the proposed surcharge would not adversely…

The paper presents an overview of enrollment in college-level geography courses from 1949 to 1978 and predicts enrollment trends for the near future. All data are based on the Directory of College Geography of the United States. First published in 1949, the directory lists all college and university departments offering geography, the size and…

Using the Student Inventory File of the OBOR information system, detailed analyses were conducted on 1971-1975 enrollments in Ohio by institution, count, part-time versus full-time status, age, rank, day-evening, marital status, etc. Data on out-of-state enrollments, graduate students, and professional students were also tabulated. (LBH)

This document consists of tables and figures detailing the status of and projections for public and private institutions of higher education in the state of Washington. The report considers university/college characteristics, access and participation rates, service level and student flow, off-campus programs, and special institutional goals and…

Projections to 1996-97 concerning Arkansas public high school graduates are examined. The state and county projections were prepared as a basic resource for institutions such as colleges and universities. Various considerations in projecting high school graduates are considered, including use of the Cohort Survival Technique, the importance of…

A small-sample exploratory investigation is reported that attempted to develop some initial insights regarding the uses of manpower and labor market data in new planning, the needs for new types and forms of data, the nature of program changes generated, and the needs for further research and development. Planning models and program change data…

A highly technical report describes higher education forecasting procedures used by the State Education Department of New York at Albany to project simulated college enrollments for New York State from 1978-1994. Basic components of the projections--generated for full- and part-time undergraduates, full- and part-time graduates, and…

This document consists of tables and figures detailing the status of and projections for public and private institutions of higher education in the state of Washington. Following a brief introduction, Chapter 1 identifies highlights of the report, including: entrance eligibility for public institutions; Washington state higher education enrollment…