Enrollment projections are vital to the planning of any educational system where capacity and growth are important elements. As a portion of a study of engineering education in Ontario, this document presents enrollment projections up to academic year 1980-81, that size and number of engineering schools to be needed might be established. Tables…

This report is the second part of a two-phased study designed to provide data for forecasting the size and characteristics of freshman classes at colleges and universities in Idaho. The initial phase of the study focused on the post-graduation plans of high school seniors who participated in a statewide survey conducted in May 1971. The present…

Various methods by which the responsible officials of colleges and universities might make projections of enrollment for their respective institutions are presented in this report. The point is made that institutional enrollment projection is not a simple assignment. Many factors must be considered, analyzed, and, if possible, controlled in order…

This paper examines alternative techniques for projecting freshman enrollment in specific academic departments. Departmental enrollment projections provided by 4 different projection models are compared to actual departmental enrollments at Kansas State University. Two of the models use only historical data, while the other two models are…

Discusses the effects of shrinking enrollments in higher education: teacher surpluses, rising costs, grade inflation, certification and dropping standards. (PG)

Attempts to predict the number of British students likely to seek places in higher education in the future are briefly described and their methods of prediction analyzed. It is argued that future numbers cannot be predicted reliably since there has been no identifiable regular pattern from which to make a prediction. (Author/LBH)

Policy analysis provides the framework for enrollment planning in the Arizona university system. The new planning model consists of a statement of principles, a five-year strategic plan, an enrollment demand model, determination of institutional capacities, development of strategies to meet demand, and analysis of policy choices and consequences.…

Pointing out that "trend-demographic" enrollment projections ignore important economic considerations (supply and demand), the author uses a model of educational adaptation, which focuses on the educational characteristics of the active adult population and the wage of educated relative to uneducated labor, to make projections that are compared…

To determine whether present alternatives in library education in Ohio are adequate to the educational demand, a study of potential enrollment for graduate programs in library science during the coming decade was conducted as part of the Graduate Education for Librarianship in Ohio Project. Library associates (professional staff members without…

Summary of the discussion document, issued by the Department of Education and Science and the Scottish Education Department, that considers the implications of declining enrollment in primary and secondary schools in Britain for the pattern of higher education over the next 15 years. Policy options are explored. (Author/JMD)

Trends in projected demand for higher education are examined, including those resulting from new economic incentives for college attendance. Topics discussed include enrollment trends among traditional-age, older, and continuing students; noncredit students at traditional institutions; and distance students. Various aspects of "capacity" are…

A model in which nonprice rationing has two effects on the number of medical school applicants in the United States is specified and estimated for the 1951-76 period. The results indicate that low acceptance rates discourage many potential applicants and that a fairly large and constant percentage of rejected applicants can be expected to reapply.…

This commentary on the discussion between the Department of Education and Science and the Scottish Education Department criticizes the enrollment projections and discusses these projections as they relate to postgraduates, overseas students, mature students, and young home entrants. (JMD)

A proposal to establish an off-campus center in the Coachella Valley for California State University, San Bernardino, is presented, along with recommendations of the California Postsecondary Education Commission. The background to the development of the proposal is discussed, including demographic information, proposed facilities, degree…

Trend-demographic enrollment projections recently have been modified by new assumptions regarding the economic returns of education, the growth of the so-called "Learning Society," and changing patterns of student preference. The net result is that institutions are confronted with a wide range of competing projections of the level of future…