Institutional staff such as enrollment managers, business officers, and institutional researchers are often asked to predict enrollments. Developing any predictive model can be intimidating, particularly when there is no textbook to follow. This paper provides a practical framework for generating enrollment projection options and for evaluating…

Providing support for institutional planning is central to the function of institutional research. Necessary for the planning process are accurate enrollment projections. The purpose of the present study was to develop a short-term enrollment model simple enough to be understood by those who rely on it, yet sufficiently complex to serve varying…

The hard choices that must be made to balance budgets at higher education institutions can be painful and have dramatic consequences that may linger for years. If enrollment projections and therefore tuition income/budgeting projections for future years are inaccurate, then the result may be unnecessary or insufficient budget reductions, both of…

Higher education in Australia is undergoing a comprehensive reform with particular focus on higher levels of attainment by increasing access to university study for Australians from all backgrounds. To support the government's ambition of around 217,000 additional graduates by 2025, it has committed to removing caps and funding student places on…

Presents a model to assist in long-range forecasting of enrollments in institutions of higher education. (WD)

Presents results of research efforts to develop an enrollment forecasting model for Ohio's higher education system. The model employs the concept of spatial interaction to determine the market share of each public college each year. Also discusses data bases, cost function development, and forecasting of actual enrollment for each college.…

Describes the development of two enrollment management tools: (1) a student-tracking model designed to monitor and report on student transitions through the educational experience; and (2) a near-term student enrollment-forecasting model. Follows a fictional class for several years to illustrate the tools. (EV)

In a large metropolitan research university, multiple enrollment models are required to fulfill the needs of the many constituents and planning horizons. In addition, the method of predicting enrollment in a growth environment differs from that of universities in a stable environment. Three models for predicting enrollment are discussed, with a…

Discussion of higher education policy has been hampered in the past by an inability to forecast the effects on student behavior of proposed policies. This report describes efforts to develop a theoretical and empirical model of student behavior that will help to establish a method of forecasting enrollment patterns. In this model, actual college…

The enrollment estimates contained in this report represent the second set of institutional enrollment projections of oncampus headcount for public postsecondary education in Minnesota prepared by the staff of the Minnesota Higher Education Coordinating Commission. The projections are similar to earlier enrollment forecasts by the commission and…

Examines techniques for projecting freshman enrollment in specific academic departments. (Editor)

This report is concerned with the development of a model for projecting the enrollments of The Pennsylvania State University by simulating the flow of students through the campuses and colleges of which the institution is composed. Because it concerns a twenty-two campus system of a single university, it not only constitutes an institutional…

A model is presented that combines a polynomial lag econometric model with a goal programming model to satisfy the known conditions while making efficient use of limited data. The model is applied to data for a large public university. (Author/MLW)

The impact of several environmental and institutional factors on college and university enrollments between 1975-76 and 1980-81 is examined. Separate enrollment analyses of public and private two-year and four-year institutions, and of the major doctoral, comprehensive, and baccalaureate institutions of four-year schools were made. (Author/MLW)

Briefly summarizes a study that surveyed approaches to calculating the demand for higher education and then developed a model for obtaining reliable enrollment projections for postsecondary educational institutions in South Carolina. Available from: The American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 50 East 69th Street, New York, N.Y. 10021; single…