A simple probability game was analyzed hierarchically in terms of the strategies that would lead most often to an efficient sequence of plays. A series of experiments showed there was no relationship between the use of first-order strategy and knowledge of the probability content of the game. (Author/GDC)

It is proposed that clinical decision making in pharmacy should integrate principles of pharmacoepidemiology, economics, and medical decision making, and that case studies provide an opportunity to use these principles in probabilistic reasoning, thereby improving self-learning, critical thinking, and therapeutic and monitoring skills. Steps in…

Development of an inexpensive but powerful computer program to teach clinical periodontal diagnosis using epidemiological principles is described. Using probabilistic thinking, the student is guided from application of raw research data to derivation of likelihood ratios and how they affect clinical decision making. Student response was found to…