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Maraun, Michael; Gabriel, Stephanie – Psychological Methods, 2010
In his article, "An Alternative to Null-Hypothesis Significance Tests," Killeen (2005) urged the discipline to abandon the practice of "p[subscript obs]"-based null hypothesis testing and to quantify the signal-to-noise characteristics of experimental outcomes with replication probabilities. He described the coefficient that he…
Descriptors: Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Inference, Probability, Statistical Significance
Killeen, Peter R. – Psychological Methods, 2010
Lecoutre, Lecoutre, and Poitevineau (2010) have provided sophisticated grounding for "p[subscript rep]." Computing it precisely appears, fortunately, no more difficult than doing so approximately. Their analysis will help move predictive inference into the mainstream. Iverson, Wagenmakers, and Lee (2010) have also validated…
Descriptors: Replication (Evaluation), Measurement Techniques, Research Design, Research Methodology
Lecoutre, Bruno; Lecoutre, Marie-Paule; Poitevineau, Jacques – Psychological Methods, 2010
P. R. Killeen's (2005a) probability of replication ("p[subscript rep]") of an experimental result is the fiducial Bayesian predictive probability of finding a same-sign effect in a replication of an experiment. "p[subscript rep]" is now routinely reported in "Psychological Science" and has also begun to appear in…
Descriptors: Research Methodology, Guidelines, Probability, Computation
Iverson, Geoffrey J.; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan; Lee, Michael D. – Psychological Methods, 2010
The purpose of the recently proposed "p[subscript rep]" statistic is to estimate the probability of concurrence, that is, the probability that a replicate experiment yields an effect of the same sign (Killeen, 2005a). The influential journal "Psychological Science" endorses "p[subscript rep]" and recommends its use…
Descriptors: Effect Size, Evaluation Methods, Probability, Experiments
Serlin, Ronald C. – Psychological Methods, 2010
The sense that replicability is an important aspect of empirical science led Killeen (2005a) to define "p[subscript rep]," the probability that a replication will result in an outcome in the same direction as that found in a current experiment. Since then, several authors have praised and criticized 'p[subscript rep]," culminating…
Descriptors: Epistemology, Effect Size, Replication (Evaluation), Measurement Techniques
Cumming, Geoff – Psychological Methods, 2010
This comment offers three descriptions of "p[subscript rep]" that start with a frequentist account of confidence intervals, draw on R. A. Fisher's fiducial argument, and do not make Bayesian assumptions. Links are described among "p[subscript rep]," "p" values, and the probability a confidence interval will capture…
Descriptors: Replication (Evaluation), Measurement Techniques, Research Methodology, Validity