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Fernbach, Philip M.; Macris, Deanna M.; Sobel, David M. – Cognitive Development, 2012
We evaluate the hypothesis that children's diagnostic causal reasoning becomes more sophisticated as their understanding of uncertainty advances. When the causal status of candidate causes was known, 3- and 4-year-olds were capable of diagnostic inference (Experiment 1) and could revise their beliefs when told their initial diagnosis was incorrect…
Descriptors: Preschool Children, Inferences, Hypothesis Testing, Age Differences