The accuracy of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projections of occupational employment growth was investigated for the period 1972-1989. BLS was found to have consistently underpredicted the growth of skilled occupations and overpredicted the growth of occupations requiring low or moderate skills. A regression-based forecast was indicated as…

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) projections of occupational employment growth have systematically underpredicted the growth of occupations that require the most education and training. The latest data on occupational growth rates show that the BLS's recent projections of occupational employment growth to the year 2000 probably suffer from…