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Widaman, Keith F. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 2023
The import or force of the result of a statistical test has long been portrayed as consistent with deductive reasoning. The simplest form of deductive argument has a first premise with conditional form, such as p[right arrow]q, which means that "if p is true, then q must be true." Given the first premise, one can either affirm or deny…
Descriptors: Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Analysis, Logical Thinking, Probability
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Newman, Ian R.; Gibb, Maia; Thompson, Valerie A. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2017
It is commonly assumed that belief-based reasoning is fast and automatic, whereas rule-based reasoning is slower and more effortful. Dual-Process theories of reasoning rely on this speed-asymmetry explanation to account for a number of reasoning phenomena, such as base-rate neglect and belief-bias. The goal of the current study was to test this…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Beliefs, Bias, Problem Solving
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Hinterecker, Thomas; Knauff, Markus; Johnson-Laird, P. N. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2016
We report 3 experiments investigating novel sorts of inference, such as: A or B or both. Therefore, possibly (A and B). Where the contents were sensible assertions, for example, "Space tourism will achieve widespread popularity in the next 50 years or advances in material science will lead to the development of antigravity materials in the…
Descriptors: Models, Probability, Inferences, Logical Thinking
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Markovits, Henry; Brisson, Janie; de Chantal, Pier-Luc – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2015
One of the major debates concerning the nature of inferential reasoning is between counterexample-based theories such as mental model theory and probabilistic theories. This study looks at conclusion updating after the addition of statistical information to examine the hypothesis that deductive reasoning cannot be explained by probabilistic…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Theories, Bayesian Statistics, Probability
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Yang, Chunliang; Shanks, David R. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2018
"Induction" refers to the process in which people generalize their previous experience when making uncertain inferences about the environment that go beyond direct experience. Here we show that interim tests strongly enhance inductive learning. Participants studied the painting styles of eight famous artists across four lists, each…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Inferences, Art Products, Painting (Visual Arts)
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Inzunsa Cazares, Santiago – North American Chapter of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education, 2016
This article presents the results of a qualitative research with a group of 15 university students of social sciences on informal inferential reasoning developed in a computer environment on concepts involved in the confidence intervals. The results indicate that students developed a correct reasoning about sampling variability and visualized…
Descriptors: Qualitative Research, College Students, Inferences, Logical Thinking
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Pfannkuch, Maxine; Arnold, Pip; Wild, Chris J. – Educational Studies in Mathematics, 2015
Currently, instruction pays little attention to the development of students' sampling variability reasoning in relation to statistical inference. In this paper, we briefly discuss the especially designed sampling variability learning experiences students aged about 15 engaged in as part of a research project. We examine assessment and…
Descriptors: Statistical Inference, Statistical Analysis, Sampling, Interviews
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Kumar, R. Renjith – Journal of Education and Practice, 2017
The study of formal logic helps to improve the process of thinking and tries to refine and improve the thinking ability. The objectives of this study are to know the effectiveness of formal logic course and to determine the critical thinking variables that are effective and that are ineffective. A sample of 214 students is selected from all the…
Descriptors: Critical Thinking, Thinking Skills, Skill Development, Pretests Posttests
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Butler, Lucas P.; Markman, Ellen M. – Child Development, 2012
Children are judicious social learners. They may be particularly sensitive to communicative actions done pedagogically for their benefit, as such actions may mark important, generalizable information. Three experiments (N = 224) found striking differences in preschoolers' inductive generalization and exploration of a novel functional property,…
Descriptors: Logical Thinking, Evidence, Cues, Inferences
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Trumpower, David L. – Mathematical Thinking and Learning: An International Journal, 2013
Students' informal inferential reasoning (IIR) is often inconsistent with the normative logic underlying formal statistical methods such as Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), even after instruction. In two experiments reported here, student's IIR was assessed using an intuitive ANOVA task at the beginning and end of a statistics course. In both…
Descriptors: Statistical Analysis, Intuition, Inferences, Thinking Skills