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Almond, Russell G. – ETS Research Report Series, 2007
Over the course of instruction, instructors generally collect a great deal of information about each student. Integrating that information intelligently requires models for how a student's proficiency changes over time. Armed with such models, instructors can "filter" the data--more accurately estimate the student's current proficiency…
Descriptors: Markov Processes, Decision Making, Student Evaluation, Learning Processes
Almond, Russell G.; Mulder, Joris; Hemat, Lisa A.; Yan, Duanli – ETS Research Report Series, 2006
Bayesian network models offer a large degree of flexibility for modeling dependence among observables (item outcome variables) from the same task that may be dependent. This paper explores four design patterns for modeling locally dependent observations from the same task: (1) No context--Ignore dependence among observables; (2) Compensatory…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Networks, Models, Design
Mislevy, Robert J.; Almond, Russell G.; Yan, Duanli; Steinberg, Linda S. – 2000
Educational assessments that exploit advances in technology and cognitive psychology can produce observations and pose student models that outstrip familiar test-theoretic models and analytic methods. Bayesian inference networks (BINs), which include familiar models and techniques as special cases, can be used to manage belief about students'…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Educational Assessment, Educational Technology, Educational Testing