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Wilcox, Rand – 1977
False-positive and false-negative dicisions are the fundamental errors committed with a mastery test; yet the estimation of the likelihood of committing these errors has not been investigated. Accordingly, two methods of estimating the likelihood of committing these errors are described and then investigated using Monte Carlo techniques.…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Computer Programs, Error Patterns, Item Analysis
Steinheiser, Frederick H., Jr. – 1976
A computer simulation of Bayes' Theorem was conducted in order to determine the probability that an examinee was a master conditional upon his test score. The inputs were: number of mastery states assumed, test length, prior expectation of masters in the examinee population, and conditional probability of a master getting a randomly selected test…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Classification, Computer Programs, Criterion Referenced Tests