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White, P. O. – Psychometrika, 1976
An alternative derivation is given for a generalization of the Rasch model which incorporates a guessing parameter. The probability of a correct response to the problem is a projective transformation of the problem difficulty. The ability and difficulty parameters separate into additive components. (Author/JKS)
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Measurement Techniques
Levine, Douglas W.; Rockhill, Beverly – Teaching Statistics: An International Journal for Teachers, 2006
We focus on the problem of ignoring statistical independence. A binomial experiment is used to determine whether judges could match, based on looks alone, dogs to their owners. The experimental design introduces dependencies such that the probability of a given judge correctly matching a dog and an owner changes from trial to trial. We show how…
Descriptors: Probability, Statistical Analysis, Hypothesis Testing, Mathematical Models

Cressie, Noel; Holland, Paul W. – Psychometrika, 1983
The problem of characterizing the manifest probabilities of a latent trait model is considered. The approach taken here differs from the standard approach in that a population of examinees is being considered as opposed to a single examinee. Particular attention is given to the Rasch model. (Author/JKS)
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Item Analysis, Latent Trait Theory, Mathematical Models

Wilcox, Rand R. – Journal of Educational Measurement, 1982
A new model for measuring misinformation is suggested. A modification of Wilcox's strong true-score model, to be used in certain situations, is indicated, since it solves the problem of correcting for guessing without assuming guessing is random. (Author/GK)
Descriptors: Achievement Tests, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Scoring Formulas
Arnold, J. C. – J Exp Educ, 1969
Descriptors: Difficulty Level, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Methods
Waller, Michael I. – 1976
A method of estimating the parameters of the Rasch Model removing the effect of ramdom guessing is presented. The procedure is an application of the ARRG (Abilities Removing Random Guessing) model recently developed for two parameter latent trait models. Under the Rasch model ARRG provides for estimation of abilities, removing the effects of…
Descriptors: Ability, Guessing (Tests), Item Analysis, Mathematical Models

Ramsay, J. O. – Psychometrika, 1980
In studies involving judgments of similarity or dissimilarity, a variety of other variables may also be measured. In such cases, there are important advantages to joint analyses of the dissimilarity and collateral variables. A variety of models are described for relating these and algorithms are described for fitting these to data. (Author/JKS)
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Measurement Techniques

Lord, Frederic M. – Psychometrika, 1971
A two-stage testing procedure, a routing test followed by one of several alternative second-stage tests, is studied in the situation where the purpose is measurement, not classification. Models are developed, examined, and compared with conventional tests and up-and-down procedures. (DG)
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Measurement Techniques, Scoring

Wilcox, Rand R. – Educational and Psychological Measurement, 1980
Technical problems in achievement testing associated with using latent structure models to estimate the probability of guessing correct responses by examinees is studied; also the lack of problems associated with using Wilcox's formula score. Maximum likelihood estimates are derived which may be applied when items are hierarchically related.…
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Item Analysis, Mathematical Models, Maximum Likelihood Statistics

Buchanan, Bruce – Psychometrika, 1988
A model is proposed that describes subject behavior on repeat paired comparison preference tests. The model extends prior work in this area in that it explicitly allows for abstentions and permits the derivation of individual true scores of discrimination ability as well as conditional estimates of proportionate preference. (Author/TJH)
Descriptors: Attitude Measures, Equations (Mathematics), Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models
Wilcox, Rand R. – 1979
In the past, several latent structure models have been proposed for handling problems associated with measuring the achievement of examinees. Typically, however, these models describe a specific examinee in terms of an item domain or they describe a few items in terms of a population of examinees. In this paper, a model is proposed which allows a…
Descriptors: Achievement Tests, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Multiple Choice Tests

Morrison, Donald G.; Brockway, George – Psychometrika, 1979
A modified beta binomial model is presented for use in analyzing random guessing multiple choice tests and taste tests. Detection probabilities for each item are distributed beta across the population subjects. Properties for the observable distribution of correct responses are derived. Two concepts of true score estimates are presented.…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Multiple Choice Tests

Garcia-Perez, Miguel A.; Frary, Robert B. – Applied Psychological Measurement, 1989
Simulation techniques were used to generate conventional test responses and track the proportion of alternatives examinees could classify independently before and after taking the test. Finite-state scores were compared with these actual values and with number-correct and formula scores. Finite-state scores proved useful. (TJH)
Descriptors: Comparative Analysis, Computer Simulation, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models
Lord, Frederic M. – 1982
Explored are two theoretical approaches that attempt to cope with omitted responses, that is, when an examinee omits (fails to respond to) an item and therefore the item response formula cannot be used. Preliminary considerations are discussed, and it is shown that a conveniently simple application of equivalent items leads to internal…
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Latent Trait Theory, Mathematical Models, Maximum Likelihood Statistics

Burton, Richard F. – Assessment & Evaluation in Higher Education, 2001
Describes four measures of test unreliability that quantify effects of question selection and guessing, both separately and together--three chosen for immediacy and one for greater mathematical elegance. Quantifies their dependence on test length and number of answer options per question. Concludes that many multiple choice tests are unreliable…
Descriptors: Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Multiple Choice Tests, Objective Tests