Because new learning technologies are enabling students to build and explore probability models, we believe that there is a need to determine the big enduring ideas that underpin probabilistic thinking and modeling. By uncovering the elements of the thinking modes of expert users of probability models we aim to provide a base for the setting of…

The study explores the development of 11-year-old students' informal inference about random bunny hops through student talk and use of computer simulation tools. Our aim in this paper is to draw on dialogic theory to explain how students make shifts in perspective, from intuition-based reasoning to more powerful, formal ways of using probabilistic…

Problems involving the relative positions of four soccer teams and possible point allocations for the teams are analyzed. (DT)

The principal objects of the investigation reported were, first, to study qualitative probability relations on Boolean algebras, and secondly, to describe applications in the theories of probability logic, information, automata, and probabilistic measurement. The main contribution of this work is stated in 10 definitions and 20 theorems. The basic…

The behavior of focus samples central to the multiple-look model of Trabasso and Bower is examined by three methods. First, exact probabilities of success conditional upon a certain brief history of stimulation are determined. Second, possible states of the organism during the experiment are defined and a transition matrix for those states…

Develops search patterns for locating an object which may be in one of several locations. (JP)

In this paper a reliable method is found for approximating the value of the Bivariate Normal Correlation Coefficient, rho, given values of the joint probability and the normal deviates, h and k, or the related areas. This technique finds useful application in the computation of the tetrachoric correlation coefficient, r, when the underlying…

Some applications of the theory of games to competitive situations are examined by looking at several examples, including a military problem, a political problem, and a prisoner's dilemma. (MP)

The probabilities of certain English football teams winning different playoffs are determined. In each case, a mathematical model is fitted to the observed data, assumptions are verified, and the calculations performed. (LS)