With the growing concern for the development of good mathematical education planning models, few states have developed the type of enrollment projection systems that they would consider to be ideal. The primary objectives of this research project were to develop, construct, and document an enrollment forecasting system for use by the Ohio Board of…

Two quantitative enrollment projection techniques and the methods used by researchers at the Ohio Board of Regents (OBR) are discussed. Two quantitative approaches that are typically used for enrollment projections are curve-fitting techniques and causal models. Many state forecasters use curve-fitting techniques, a popular approach because only…

Current college enrollments in Ontario universities and future projections are considered. It is suggested that demographic changes and educational demand are basic factors affecting university enrollment. Difficulties in analyzing participation rates are identified, including the means of calculation, interprovincial student mobility, the…

An admissions/enrollment model was developed using 5 years of data on undergraduate and graduate enrollment, admissions, budget and tuition revenues, and anticipated tuition costs. The model produced estimates of admissions and enrollment numbers required to meet projected increases in the institutional budget. Using a variation of the Markov…

A highly technical report describes higher education forecasting procedures used by the State Education Department of New York at Albany to project simulated college enrollments for New York State from 1978-1994. Basic components of the projections--generated for full- and part-time undergraduates, full- and part-time graduates, and…