Institutional staff such as enrollment managers, business officers, and institutional researchers are often asked to predict enrollments. Developing any predictive model can be intimidating, particularly when there is no textbook to follow. This paper provides a practical framework for generating enrollment projection options and for evaluating…

The development of a successful short-range forecasting model for predicting enrollment in a university intensive English course began with examination of the characteristics (nationality, enrollment patterns, persistence) of both course participants and no-shows; the resulting figures revealed consistent patterns for country of origin and for…

Using the Student Inventory File of the OBOR information system, detailed analyses were conducted on 1971-1975 enrollments in Ohio by institution, count, part-time versus full-time status, age, rank, day-evening, marital status, etc. Data on out-of-state enrollments, graduate students, and professional students were also tabulated. (LBH)

Because the enrollment question is central to the resolution of a number of issues facing higher education, institutions as well as jurisdictional bodies have become increasingly concerned with the determination of future student demand. However, the changing characteristics of our population indicate the need for a new and somewhat more complex…

This paper examines the changing demographics of American society and the impact of these changes on higher education. Discussions include a historical background of early American demography, the building and expansion of the population base, and census changes through various generations of the baby boom years and beyond. Next, the report…

This edition is the 23rd report in a series begun in 1964. It includes projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, and expenditures to the year 2004. Projections reflect the 1990 Census, with the incorporation of 1992 estimates and assumptions for fertility rate, net immigration, and mortality rate. The report also contains a…

The findings of a computer model designed to project the number and educational profile of young people leaving the school system to enter the labor force in Canada in the 1980's are reported. The four-tiered computer model utilized in the study projects elementary-secondary enrollment, college and university enrollment, "leavers" from…

Monitoring and subsequently simulating student transfer patterns from one academic major (or level) to another typically enables an institution to estimate future student enrollment distributions across academic areas. At the University of Missouri-Columbia (UMC), a student flow model not only simulates the patterns of student transfer but also…

This document presents a framework for the study of individual demand for education. It also presents an analysis of research findings and applies these findings to recent educational trends and changes in Sweden. The first chapter provides data showing that the demand for higher education in industrialized countries has increased greatly during…

The third in a series of six reports on higher education in Iowa, this document presents enrollment projections for Iowa postsecondary education institutions from 1978 through 1986. Data were collected from the regents universities, independent colleges, and area colleges throughout the state. A computerized nonprescriptive projection model was…

This survey examines post-secondary plans, aspirations, and characteristics of twelfth grade students in order to develop a medium range enrollment forecasting model of postsecondary education and to develop a data base on high school student aspirations. The survey is the third year of a three-year project undertaken in Manitoba, Canada.…