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See, Kelly E.; Fox, Craig R.; Rottenstreich, Yuval S. – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2006
In 3 studies, participants viewed sequences of multiattribute objects (e.g., colored shapes) appearing with varying frequencies and judged the likelihood of the attributes of those objects. Judged probabilities reflected a compromise between (a) the frequency with which each attribute appeared and (b) the ignorance prior probability cued by the…
Descriptors: Probability, Test Bias, Perception Tests, Visual Perception

Morrison, Donald G.; Brockway, George – Psychometrika, 1979
A modified beta binomial model is presented for use in analyzing random guessing multiple choice tests and taste tests. Detection probabilities for each item are distributed beta across the population subjects. Properties for the observable distribution of correct responses are derived. Two concepts of true score estimates are presented.…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Guessing (Tests), Mathematical Models, Multiple Choice Tests
Schlenker, Barry R.; And Others – 1971
It was hypothesized that subjects who liked a source of potential harm would estimate the probability of receiving harm mediated by him as lower than would subjects who disliked the source. To test the hypothesis, subjects were asked to estimate the probability that a liked or disliked confederate would deliver an electric shock on each of 10…
Descriptors: Expectation, Experimental Psychology, Interpersonal Relationship, Perception Tests

Cosby, Arthur G.; And Others – 1972
The objective of this research was to explore changes in occupational expectations of a sample of Texas youth within the framework of Ginzberg's formulation of "increasing realism of choice." Using standard multiple regression procedures, changes over time in level of occupational expectations were analyzed with respect to 4 sets of…
Descriptors: Area Studies, Career Choice, Expectation, Occupational Aspiration