To investigate operating characteristics of performance factors and the evaluation of potential ratings for new officers, an analysis of controlled effectiveness for 9,230 lieutenant colonels was performed. The study was done to determine whether performance factor variance was so restricted that the performance factors would not provide useful…

The primary purpose of this monograph is to describe how learning curves can be applied to vocational evaluation procedures to enhance the reliability and accuracy of performance prediction. Particular emphasis is placed on describing two techniques known as the "best 20 percent method" and the "Performance Analyzer and…

This review is one in a series intended to develop methods which maximize the use of the existing scientific literature as a basis for predicting human performance. It is concerned with sensory performance in target detection, defined in terms of the "probability of detection" of a flash of light. Two conditions of detection are…

It has long been assumed that Part 3 of the National Boards, which stresses patient management and clinical problems, is a valid measure of "clinical competence" for doctors. These authors, challenging this premise, devised a study to analyze which components of medical school achievement are most predictive of Part 3 performance. Their…