This report presents a set of tested procedures designed to yield current estimates of housing demand potential among black and Spanish speaking minority groups in United States metropolitan housing market areas during periods between Federal censuses. To produce estimates for the black homeseeker market, the analyst first "ages" the black…

Data for 318 metropolitan areas confirm the Burgess model's positive relationship between social status and residential distance from the urban core. Over time, all categories of metropolitan areas moved in the predicted direction of status distribution, with stronger associations for older, larger, and more industrial cities. Contains 53…

Traditionally, the most commonly used methods of forecasting school enrollments have been those that looked to the past for a picture of the future. In restricting the forecaster to projections of past trends, the "percentage survival" technique ignores a host of current trends implicit in a changing society. A second problem with most…

Presents a comparison of human population and pathologic models. Builds support for a hypothesis that the human population is a planetary cancer by establishing the following: (1) features of human populations; (2) characteristics of human populations and other biological communities; (3) models of pathologic processes; and (4) malignant…

The projection of enrollment changes is vital to the planning of educational facilities. However, existing methods of projecting urban populations fall short of acceptable performance because they fail to adequately take into account residential mobility. As a starting point for improving these methods, this report develops an accounting model of…

Presents a collective behavior model for examining the population turnaround (urban to rural migration) of the 1960s/1970s as a specific form of mass movement. Specifies the value-added process that produced this particular episode at this particular point in social history. Explores factors influencing decline in turnaround migration. (Author/MH)

This report is the result of an experimental effort by the Population Studies Program at the University of Louisville. The program investigated the feasibility of estimating the percentage of Kentucky residents in poverty at the county level based on a variety of income, employment, demographic, and public assistance data available annually for…

International migration is presented as a permanent phenomenon. Historical changes in migration patterns are traced; and different types of immigration policies, and current and future trends are reviewed. Open and unrestricted immigration is a thing of the past, but selective, and illegal, immigration will continue. (SLD)