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Roslyn Wong; Aaron Veldre; Sally Andrews – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2024
Evidence of processing costs for unexpected words presented in place of a more expected completion remains elusive in the eye-movement literature. The current study investigated whether such prediction error costs depend on the source of constraint violation provided by the prior context. Participants' eye movements were recorded as they read…
Descriptors: Reading Processes, Eye Movements, Prediction, Probability
Silva, Hernán A.; Quezada, Luis E.; Oddershede, A. M.; Palominos, Pedro I.; O'Brien, Christopher – Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory & Practice, 2023
The objective of this paper is the design of a predictive model of students' desertion in Educational Institutions based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The proposed model is based on a weighted sum of individual probabilities of desertion associated with various factors (explanatory variables) by experts in the combined use of the AHP…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Prediction, Models, Probability
Xiaoyang Ye – Education Finance and Policy, 2024
This paper provides the first experimental evidence of how admission outcomes in centralized systems depend on strategic college choice behaviors. Centralized college admissions simplify the application process and reduce students' informational barriers. However, such systems also reward informed and strategic college choices. In particular,…
Descriptors: College Admission, College Choice, Educational Administration, Prediction
Baneres, David; Rodriguez-Gonzalez, M. Elena; Guerrero-Roldan, Ana Elena – IEEE Transactions on Learning Technologies, 2023
Course dropout is a concern in online higher education, mainly in first-year courses when different factors negatively influence the learners' engagement leading to an unsuccessful outcome or even dropping out from the university. The early identification of such potential at-risk learners is the key to intervening and trying to help them before…
Descriptors: Prediction, Models, Identification, Potential Dropouts
Lim Keai – Excellence in Education Journal, 2023
This study was inspired by the Indian movie 'Three idiots' and purposed to investigate the reasons behind the high rate of engineering degree programmes dropouts in India. Accordingly, factors related to academic, demographic, economic, family, future, institutional, personal, and social were derived and examined on their impacts on student…
Descriptors: Foreign Countries, Films, Engineering Education, Dropouts
Soltys, Michael; Dang, Hung D.; Reyes Reilly, Ginger; Soltys, Katharine – Strategic Enrollment Management Quarterly, 2021
A Machine Learning framework for predicting enrollment is proposed. The framework consists of Amazon Web Services SageMaker together with standard Python tools for data analytics, including Pandas, NumPy, MatPlotLib, and ScikitLearn. The tools are deployed with Jupyter Notebooks running on AWS SageMaker. Based on three years of enrollment history,…
Descriptors: Enrollment Management, Strategic Planning, Prediction, Computer Software
Elbehary, Samah G. A. – Pythagoras, 2021
Interpreting phenomena under uncertainty stands as a substantial cognitive activity in our daily life. Furthermore, in probability education research, there is a need for developing a unified model that involves several probabilistic conceptions. From this aspect, a central inquiry has been raised through this study: how do preservice mathematics…
Descriptors: Preservice Teachers, Mathematics Teachers, Probability, Mathematics Education
Staub, Adrian; Goddard, Kirk – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2019
A word's predictability, as measured by its cloze probability, has a robust influence on the time a reader's eyes spend on the word, with more predictable words receiving shorter fixations. However, several previous studies using the boundary paradigm have found no apparent effect of predictability on early reading time measures when the reader…
Descriptors: Prediction, Probability, Eye Movements, Reading
Atieh, Emily L.; York, Darrin M.; Muñiz, Marc N. – Journal of Chemical Education, 2021
As the conversation in higher education shifts from diversity to inclusion, the attrition rates of students in the STEM fields continue to be a point of discussion. Combined with the demand for expansion in the STEM workforce, various retention reforms have been proposed, implemented, and in some cases integrated into policy following evidence of…
Descriptors: STEM Education, Chemistry, College Science, Undergraduate Study
Yu-Chin, Chiu – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2023
Recent context-control learning studies have shown that switch costs are reduced in a particular context predicting a high probability of switching as compared to another context predicting a low probability of switching. These context-specific switch probability effects suggest that control of task sets, through experience, can become associated…
Descriptors: Learning Processes, Prior Learning, Task Analysis, Cognitive Ability
Fröber, Kerstin; Jurczyk, Vanessa; Dreisbach, Gesine – Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2022
Frequent forced switching between tasks has been shown to reduce switch costs and increase voluntary switch rates. So far, however, the boundary conditions of the influence of forced task switching on voluntary task switching are unknown. Thus, the present study was aimed to test different aspects of generalizability (across items, tasks, and…
Descriptors: Cognitive Ability, Attention Control, Task Analysis, Generalization
Cohausz, Lea – Journal of Educational Data Mining, 2022
Student success and drop-out predictions have gained increased attention in recent years, connected to the hope that by identifying struggling students, it is possible to intervene and provide early help and design programs based on patterns discovered by the models. Though by now many models exist achieving remarkable accuracy-values, models…
Descriptors: Guidelines, Academic Achievement, Dropouts, Prediction
Yanagiura, Takeshi – Community College Review, 2023
Objective: This study examines how accurately a small set of short-term academic indicators can approximate long-term outcomes of community college students so that decision-makers can take informed actions based on those indicators to evaluate the current progress of large-scale reform efforts on long-term outcomes, which in practice will not be…
Descriptors: Community Colleges, Community College Students, Educational Indicators, Outcomes of Education
Tal, Yael; Kukliansky, Ida – Journal of Statistics Education, 2020
The aim of this study is to explore the judgments and reasoning in probabilistic tasks that require comparing two probabilities either with or without introducing an additional degree of uncertainty. The reasoning associated with the task having an additional condition of uncertainty has not been discussed in previous studies. The 66 undergraduate…
Descriptors: Undergraduate Students, Comparative Analysis, Statistics, Probability
Mao, Ye; Marwan, Samiha; Price, Thomas W.; Barnes, Tiffany; Chi, Min – International Educational Data Mining Society, 2020
Modeling student learning processes is highly complex since it is influenced by many factors such as motivation and learning habits. The high volume of features and tools provided by computer-based learning environments confounds the task of tracking student knowledge even further. Deep Learning models such as Long-Short Term Memory (LSTMs) and…
Descriptors: Time, Models, Artificial Intelligence, Bayesian Statistics