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Wes Bonifay; Sonja D. Winter; Hanamori F. Skoblow; Ashley L. Watts – Grantee Submission, 2024
Replication provides a confrontation of psychological theory, not only in experimental research, but also in model-based research. Goodness-of-fit (GOF) of the original model to the replication data is routinely provided as meaningful evidence of replication. We demonstrate, however, that GOF obscures important differences between the original and…
Descriptors: Goodness of Fit, Evidence, Replication (Evaluation), Bayesian Statistics

Parian Haghighat; Denisa Gandara; Lulu Kang; Hadis Anahideh – Grantee Submission, 2024
Predictive analytics is widely used in various domains, including education, to inform decision-making and improve outcomes. However, many predictive models are proprietary and inaccessible for evaluation or modification by researchers and practitioners, limiting their accountability and ethical design. Moreover, predictive models are often opaque…
Descriptors: Prediction, Learning Analytics, Multivariate Analysis, Regression (Statistics)
Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal; Terrence D. Jorgensen – Grantee Submission, 2024
Model evaluation is a crucial step in SEM, consisting of two broad areas: global and local fit, where local fit indices are use to modify the original model. In the modification process, the modification index (MI) and the standardized expected parameter change (SEPC) are used to select the parameters that can be added to improve the fit. The…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Structural Equation Models, Goodness of Fit, Indexes
Brian T. Keller; Craig K. Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
A growing body of literature has focused on missing data methods that factorize the joint distribution into a part representing the analysis model of interest and a part representing the distributions of the incomplete predictors. Relatively little is known about the utility of this method for multilevel models with interactive effects. This study…
Descriptors: Data Analysis, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Monte Carlo Methods, Bias
Olney, Andrew M. – Grantee Submission, 2022
Cloze items are a foundational approach to assessing readability. However, they require human data collection, thus making them impractical in automated metrics. The present study revisits the idea of assessing readability with cloze items and compares human cloze scores and readability judgments with predictions made by T5, a popular deep…
Descriptors: Readability, Cloze Procedure, Scores, Prediction
Regan Mozer; Luke Miratrix – Grantee Submission, 2024
For randomized trials that use text as an outcome, traditional approaches for assessing treatment impact require that each document first be manually coded for constructs of interest by trained human raters. This process, the current standard, is both time-consuming and limiting: even the largest human coding efforts are typically constrained to…
Descriptors: Artificial Intelligence, Coding, Efficiency, Statistical Inference
Stefan Ruseti; Ionut Paraschiv; Mihai Dascalu; Danielle S. McNamara – Grantee Submission, 2024
Automated Essay Scoring (AES) is a well-studied problem in Natural Language Processing applied in education. Solutions vary from handcrafted linguistic features to large Transformer-based models, implying a significant effort in feature extraction and model implementation. We introduce a novel Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) pipeline…
Descriptors: Computer Assisted Testing, Scoring, Automation, Essays
Li, Chenglu; Xing, Wanli; Leite, Walter – Grantee Submission, 2021
To support online learners at a large scale, extensive studies have adopted machine learning (ML) techniques to analyze students' artifacts and predict their learning outcomes automatically. However, limited attention has been paid to the fairness of prediction with ML in educational settings. This study intends to fill the gap by introducing a…
Descriptors: Learning Analytics, Prediction, Models, Electronic Learning
Robin Clausen – Grantee Submission, 2023
Research over the monitoring of at-risk youth. Behavioral interventions have been the primary focus of this literature past two decades has focused on one aspect of dropout prevention: early identification an however, there is renewed emphasis placed on attendance and academic risk factors under ESSA. Recognizing a need to promote early…
Descriptors: Identification, Dropouts, At Risk Students, Prediction
Ke-Hai Yuan; Zhiyong Zhang – Grantee Submission, 2022
Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a widely used technique for studies involving latent constructs. While covariance-based SEM (CB-SEM) permits estimating the regression relationship among latent constructs, the parameters governing this relationship do not apply to that among the scored values of the constructs, which are needed for…
Descriptors: Psychometrics, Structural Equation Models, Scores, Least Squares Statistics
Dragos-Georgian Corlatescu; Micah Watanabe; Stefan Ruseti; Mihai Dascalu; Danielle S. McNamara – Grantee Submission, 2024
Modeling reading comprehension processes is a critical task for Learning Analytics, as accurate models of the reading process can be used to match students to texts, identify appropriate interventions, and predict learning outcomes. This paper introduces an improved version of the Automated Model of Comprehension, namely version 4.0. AMoC has its…
Descriptors: Computer Software, Artificial Intelligence, Learning Analytics, Natural Language Processing
Ionita, Remus Florentin; Dascalu, Mihai; Corlatescu, Dragos-Georgian; McNamara, Danielle S – Grantee Submission, 2021
Exploring new or emerging research domains or subdomains can become overwhelming due to the magnitude of available resources and the high speed at which articles are published. As such, a tool that curates the information and underlines central entities, both authors and articles from a given research context, is highly desirable. Starting from…
Descriptors: Prediction, Learning Analytics, Authors, Network Analysis
Ke-Hai Yuan; Yongfei Fang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Observational data typically contain measurement errors. Covariance-based structural equation modelling (CB-SEM) is capable of modelling measurement errors and yields consistent parameter estimates. In contrast, methods of regression analysis using weighted composites as well as a partial least squares approach to SEM facilitate the prediction and…
Descriptors: Structural Equation Models, Regression (Statistics), Weighted Scores, Comparative Analysis
Han Du; Brian Keller; Egamaria Alacam; Craig Enders – Grantee Submission, 2023
In Bayesian statistics, the most widely used criteria of Bayesian model assessment and comparison are Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Watanabe-Akaike Information Criterion (WAIC). A multilevel mediation model is used as an illustrative example to compare different types of DIC and WAIC. More specifically, the study compares the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Comparative Analysis, Probability
V. Paul Poteat; Michael D. O'Brien; Megan K. Yang; Sarah B. Rosenbach; Arthur Lipkin – Grantee Submission, 2022
With growing attention to youth's efforts to address sexual and gender diversity issues in Gender-Sexuality Alliances (GSAs), there remains limited research on adult advisors. Do advisor characteristics predict their youth members' advocacy? Among 58 advisors of 38 GSAs, we considered whether advisor attributes predicted greater advocacy by youth…
Descriptors: Sexual Identity, Gender Issues, Advocacy, Mentors